Uneven effects of twenty years of Chile's cannabis policy implementation in cannabis onset.

Cannabis onset Cannabis policies Incarceration rates Survival analysis

Journal

The International journal on drug policy
ISSN: 1873-4758
Titre abrégé: Int J Drug Policy
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 9014759

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
25 Mar 2024
Historique:
received: 18 09 2023
revised: 01 03 2024
accepted: 14 03 2024
medline: 27 3 2024
pubmed: 27 3 2024
entrez: 26 3 2024
Statut: aheadofprint

Résumé

In Chile, Laws 19366 and 20000, implemented in 1995 and 2005 respectively, regulated and sanctioned cannabis' personal use, cultivation and trafficking. We use thirteen biannual cross-sectional national surveys data from 1994 to 2018 to examine the effect of Laws 19366 and 20000-using the rate of individuals incarcerated per 100000 population due to drug-related crimes as proxy-on the age of onset of cannabis use over time. We estimate the effect of these policies using a mixed proportional hazards framework that models the transition to first cannabis use in 47,832 individuals aged 12-21. Overall, changes in these laws did not affect the transition to first cannabis use. However, increases in the rate of individuals incarcerated were associated with decreases on the age of onset of cannabis use in females and individuals living in affluent neighborhoods or in specific regions. We find no evidence of cannabis policy changes affecting the age of onset of cannabis use across all individuals aged 12-21. Policy effects associated with decreases in cannabis onset age in females and individuals from affluent neighborhoods or specific regions can be explained by using theoretical frames that recognize specific dynamics of cannabis supply and demand.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
In Chile, Laws 19366 and 20000, implemented in 1995 and 2005 respectively, regulated and sanctioned cannabis' personal use, cultivation and trafficking.
METHODS METHODS
We use thirteen biannual cross-sectional national surveys data from 1994 to 2018 to examine the effect of Laws 19366 and 20000-using the rate of individuals incarcerated per 100000 population due to drug-related crimes as proxy-on the age of onset of cannabis use over time. We estimate the effect of these policies using a mixed proportional hazards framework that models the transition to first cannabis use in 47,832 individuals aged 12-21.
RESULTS RESULTS
Overall, changes in these laws did not affect the transition to first cannabis use. However, increases in the rate of individuals incarcerated were associated with decreases on the age of onset of cannabis use in females and individuals living in affluent neighborhoods or in specific regions.
CONCLUSION CONCLUSIONS
We find no evidence of cannabis policy changes affecting the age of onset of cannabis use across all individuals aged 12-21. Policy effects associated with decreases in cannabis onset age in females and individuals from affluent neighborhoods or specific regions can be explained by using theoretical frames that recognize specific dynamics of cannabis supply and demand.

Identifiants

pubmed: 38531189
pii: S0955-3959(24)00080-X
doi: 10.1016/j.drugpo.2024.104395
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

104395

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Auteurs

José Ignacio Nazif-Munoz (JI)

Université de Sherbrooke, Canada. Electronic address: jose.ignacio.nazif-munoz@usherbrooke.ca.

Karen Domínguez-Cancino (K)

Universidad San Sebastián, Chile.

Pablo Martínez (P)

Université de Sherbrooke, Canada.

Marie Jauffret-Roustide (M)

Centre d'étude des mouvements sociaux, École des hautes études en sciences sociales, France.

Classifications MeSH