Prediction of disease activity and treatment failure in relapsing-remitting MS patients initiating daily oral DMTs.

BACKGROUND

Limited data exist regarding treatment response prediction to oral disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS).

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the capacity of available scoring systems to anticipate disease activity parameters in naïve relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients initiating daily oral DMTs, hypothesizing that they exhibit different predictive potentials.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study and applied the Rio Score (RS), modified Rio Score (mRS), and MAGNIMS Score 12 months after DMT initiation. At 36 months, we examined their ability to predict evidence of disease activity (EDA) components and treatment failure by logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Notably, 218 patients (62.4% females) initiating dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, and fingolimod were included. At 36 months, the RS high-risk group predicted evidence of clinical activity (odds ratio (OR) 10 [2.7-36.9]) and treatment failure (OR 10.6 [3.4-32.5]) but did not predict radiological activity (OR 1.9 [0.7-5]). The mRS non-responders group did not predict EDA and treatment failure. RS, mRS, and MAGNIMS 0 categories showed significantly lower EDA and treatment failure than the remainder.

CONCLUSION

Scoring systems present different predictive abilities for disease activity parameters at 36 months in MS patients initiating daily oral therapies, warranting further adjustments (i.e. introduction of fluid biomarkers) to depict disease activity status fully.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of Conflicting InterestsThe author(s) declared the following potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: A.P. has received funding travel from Roche and speaking honoraria from Novartis; he developed this project during a 2021 ECTRIMS Clinical Training Fellowship program and is currently performing an MSIF-ARSEP Fellowship program. R.C. has received consulting services and speaking honoraria from Roche, Novartis, BIIB-Colombia, Merck, Sanofi, and was funded by an ECTRIMS Clinical Training Fellowship program. C.T. is currently being funded by a Junior Leader La Caixa Fellowship; she has also received the 2021 Merck’s Award for the Investigation in Multiple Sclerosis (Spain) and a grant (PI/01860) from Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain; and she has also received speaker honoraria from Roche and Novartis. A.C.C. has received a grant from Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain; JR19/00007. P.C.M.’s yearly salary is supported by a grant from Biogen to Fundació Privada Cemcat for statistical analysis. N.B. has received travel expenses for scientific meetings and speaking honoraria from Roche, Novartis, Biogen, and Merck, and is currently being funded by ECTRIMS Fellowship. A.V.J. receives support for contracts Juan Rodes (JR16/00024) from Fondo de Investigaciones Sanitarias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain; and has received speaking honoraria and travel expenses from Novartis, Roche, Teva, Biogen, and Sanofi-Genzyme. G.A. has received speaking honoraria, compensation for consulting services or participation in advisory boards from Sanofi, Merck, Roche, and Horizon Therapeutics; travel support for scientific meetings from Novartis, Roche, and ECTRIMS; is editor for Europe of the Multiple Sclerosis Journal—Experimental, Translational and Clinical; is a member of the International Women in Multiple Sclerosis (iWiMS) network executive committee; and is a member of the European Biomarkers in MS (BioMS-eu) consortium steering committee. N.M.O. has a predoctoral grant Rio Hortega, from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Spain). C.N. has received funding for travel from Biogen Idec and F. Hoffmann-La Roche, and speaker honoraria from Novartis. B.R.A. has received honoraria for consulting services from Wellspect. A.Z. has received travel expenses for scientific meetings from Biogen Idec, Merck Serono, and Novartis; speaking honoraria from Eisai; and a study grant from Novartis. M.C. has received compensation for consulting services and speaking honoraria from Bayer Schering Pharma, Merck Serono, Biogen Idec, Teva Pharmaceuticals, Sanofi-Aventis, and Novartis. J.S.G. has received compensation for participating on Advisory Boards, speaking honoraria, and travel expenses for scientific meetings, consulting services, or research support from Celgene, Novartis, Biogen, Teva, Merck, Almirall, and Genzyme. M.T. has received compensation for consulting services, speaking honoraria from Almirall, Bayer Schering Pharma, Biogen Idec, Genzyme, Merck Serono, Novartis, Roche, Sanofi Aventis, and Teva Pharmaceuticals, and is co-editor of Multiple Sclerosis Journal—ETC. A.R. serves on scientific advisory boards for Novartis, Sanofi Genzyme, Icometrix, SyntheticMR, Bayer, Biogen, and OLEA Medical, and has received speaker honoraria from Bayer, Sanofi Genzyme, Bracco, Merck Serono, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., Novartis, Roche, and Biogen. X.M. has received speaking honoraria and travel expenses for participation in scientific meetings, has been a steering committee member of clinical trials or participated in advisory boards of clinical trials in the past years with Abbvie, Actelion, Alexion, Biogen, Bristol Myers Squibb/Celgene, EMD Serono, Genzyme, Hoffmann-La Roche, Immunic, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, MedDay, Merck, Mylan, NervGen, Novartis, Sandoz, Sanofi Genzyme, Teva Pharmaceutical, TG Therapeutics, Excemed, MSIF, and NMSS. J.R. has received speaking honoraria and personal compensation for participating on Advisory Boards from Almirall, Bayer Schering Healthcare, Biogen Idec, Genzyme, Merck Serono, Novartis, Teva, and Sanofi Aventis. C.A., A.S.A., J.C.J., L.B., L.M., A.S., I.G., and M.R.B. report no disclosures.