Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social-ecological systems.
Cascading effects
River deltas
Social–ecological systems
Sustainable development
Systematic literature review
Tipping points
Journal
Ambio
ISSN: 1654-7209
Titre abrégé: Ambio
Pays: Sweden
ID NLM: 0364220
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
13 Apr 2024
13 Apr 2024
Historique:
received:
20
05
2023
accepted:
26
12
2023
revised:
30
11
2023
medline:
13
4
2024
pubmed:
13
4
2024
entrez:
13
4
2024
Statut:
aheadofprint
Résumé
The sustainability of social-ecological systems within river deltas globally is in question as rapid development and environmental change trigger "negative" or "positive" tipping points depending on actors' perspectives, e.g. regime shift from abundant sediment deposition to sediment shortage, agricultural sustainability to agricultural collapse or shift from rural to urban land use. Using a systematic review of the literature, we show how cascading effects across anthropogenic, ecological, and geophysical processes have triggered numerous tipping points in the governance, hydrological, and land-use management of the world's river deltas. Crossing tipping points had both positive and negative effects that generally enhanced economic development to the detriment of the environment. Assessment of deltas that featured prominently in the review revealed how outcomes of tipping points can inform the long-term trajectory of deltas towards sustainability or collapse. Management of key drivers at the delta scale can trigger positive tipping points to place social-ecological systems on a pathway towards sustainable development.
Identifiants
pubmed: 38613747
doi: 10.1007/s13280-023-01978-2
pii: 10.1007/s13280-023-01978-2
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Review
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Subventions
Organisme : Global Challenges Research Fund
ID : NE/S008926/1
Informations de copyright
© 2024. Crown.
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