Sharing information across patient subgroups to draw conclusions from sparse treatment networks.

informative priors mixed treatment comparisons sharing information sparse data

Journal

Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift
ISSN: 1521-4036
Titre abrégé: Biom J
Pays: Germany
ID NLM: 7708048

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Apr 2024
Historique:
revised: 07 11 2023
received: 26 11 2022
accepted: 26 12 2023
medline: 19 4 2024
pubmed: 19 4 2024
entrez: 18 4 2024
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Network meta-analysis (NMA) usually provides estimates of the relative effects with the highest possible precision. However, sparse networks with few available studies and limited direct evidence can arise, threatening the robustness and reliability of NMA estimates. In these cases, the limited amount of available information can hamper the formal evaluation of the underlying NMA assumptions of transitivity and consistency. In addition, NMA estimates from sparse networks are expected to be imprecise and possibly biased as they rely on large-sample approximations that are invalid in the absence of sufficient data. We propose a Bayesian framework that allows sharing of information between two networks that pertain to different population subgroups. Specifically, we use the results from a subgroup with a lot of direct evidence (a dense network) to construct informative priors for the relative effects in the target subgroup (a sparse network). This is a two-stage approach where at the first stage, we extrapolate the results of the dense network to those expected from the sparse network. This takes place by using a modified hierarchical NMA model where we add a location parameter that shifts the distribution of the relative effects to make them applicable to the target population. At the second stage, these extrapolated results are used as prior information for the sparse network. We illustrate our approach through a motivating example of psychiatric patients. Our approach results in more precise and robust estimates of the relative effects and can adequately inform clinical practice in presence of sparse networks.

Identifiants

pubmed: 38637311
doi: 10.1002/bimj.202200316
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e2200316

Subventions

Organisme : French National Research Agency
ID : ANR-22-CE36-0013-01
Organisme : UK Medical Research Council
ID : MC_UU_00004/06

Informations de copyright

© 2024 The Authors. Biometrical Journal published by Wiley‐VCH GmbH.

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Auteurs

Theodoros Evrenoglou (T)

Center of Research in Epidemiology and Statistics (CRESS-U1153), Université Paris Cité, INSERM, Paris, France.

Silvia Metelli (S)

Center of Research in Epidemiology and Statistics (CRESS-U1153), Université Paris Cité, INSERM, Paris, France.

Johannes-Schneider Thomas (JS)

Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, School of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munchen, Germany.

Spyridon Siafis (S)

Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, School of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munchen, Germany.

Rebecca M Turner (RM)

MRC Clinical Trials Unit, University College London, London, UK.

Stefan Leucht (S)

Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, School of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munchen, Germany.

Anna Chaimani (A)

Center of Research in Epidemiology and Statistics (CRESS-U1153), Université Paris Cité, INSERM, Paris, France.

Classifications MeSH