Prognostic Significance of Immune Cell Infiltration in Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer Treated with Definitive Chemoradiation: A Secondary Analysis of RTOG 0524 and RTOG 0712.

Chemoradiation therapy (CRT) is a treatment for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). Using a novel transcriptomic profiling panel, we validated prognostic immune biomarkers to CRT using 70 pretreatment tumor samples from prospective trials of MIBC (NRG/RTOG 0524 and 0712). Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated via the Kaplan-Meier method and stratified by genes correlated with immune cell activation. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to assess group differences. Clustering of gene expression profiles revealed that the cluster with high immune cell content was associated with longer DFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.26-1.10; p = 0.071) and OS (HR 0.48, 95% CI 0.24-0.97; p = 0.040) than the cluster with low immune cell content. Higher expression of T-cell infiltration genes (CD8A and ICOS) was associated with longer DFS (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.21-0.75; p = 0.005) and OS (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.25-0.94; p = 0.033). Higher IDO1 expression (IFNγ signature) was also associated with longer DFS (HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.24-0.88; p = 0.021) and OS (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.24-0.99; p = 0.048). These findings should be validated in prospective CRT trials that include biomarkers, particularly for trials incorporating immunotherapy for MIBC. PATIENT SUMMARY: We analyzed patient samples from two clinical trials (NRG/RTOG 0524 and 0712) of chemoradiation for muscle-invasive bladder cancer using a novel method to assess immune cells in the tumor microenvironment. Higher expression of genes associated with immune activation and high overall immune-cell content were associated with better disease-free survival and overall survival for patients treated with chemoradiation.

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