Testing a candidate composite serum protein marker of skin severity in systemic sclerosis.

Using an integrated multi-omic analysis, we previously derived a candidate marker that estimates the modified Rodnan Skin Score (mRSS) and thus the severity of skin involvement in SSc. In the present study we explore technical and biological validation of this composite marker in a well-characterized cohort of SSc patients. Cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP), collagen type IV (COL4A1), tenascin-C (TNC) and spondin-1 (SPON1) were examined in serum samples from two independent cohorts of patients with dcSSc. The BIOlogical Phenotyping of diffuse SYstemic sclerosis cohort had previously been used to derive the composite marker and Molecular Determinants to Improve Scleroderma (SSc) treatment (MODERNISE) was a novel validation cohort. Multiple regression analysis derived a formula to predict the mRSS based on serum ELISA protein concentration. The serum concentration of two of the proteins-COMP and TNC-positively correlated with the mRSS, particularly in early dcSSc patients. Interpretable data could not be obtained for SPON1 due to technical limitations of the ELISA. COL4A1 showed a correlation with disease duration but not overall mRSS. Patients receiving MMF showed lower serum concentrations of COMP, COL4A1 and TNC and a lower composite biomarker score not established on treatment. A revised ELISA-based three-protein composite formula was derived for future validation studies. Although more validation is required, our findings represent a further step towards a composite serum protein assay to assess skin severity in SSc. Future work will establish its utility as a predictive or prognostic biomarker.

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© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.