Patterns, timing and predictors of recurrence following pancreaticoduodenectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma: An international multicentre retrospective cohort study.

Patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA) often develop cancer recurrence. Establishing timing, patterns and risk factors for recurrence may help inform surveillance protocol strategies or select patients who could benefit from additional systemic or locoregional therapies. This multicentre retrospective cohort study aimed to determine timing, patterns, and predictive factors of recurrence following pancreaticoduodenectomy for dCCA. Patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy for dCCA between June 2012 and May 2015 with five years of follow-up were included. The primary outcome was recurrence pattern (none, local-only, distant-only or mixed local/distant). Data were collected on comorbidities, investigations, operation details, complications, histology, adjuvant and palliative therapies, recurrence-free and overall survival. Univariable tests and regression analyses investigated factors associated with recurrence. In the cohort of 198 patients, 129 (65%) developed recurrence: 30 (15%) developed local-only recurrence, 44 (22%) developed distant-only recurrence and 55 (28%) developed mixed pattern recurrence. The most common recurrence sites were local (49%), liver (24%) and lung (11%). 94% of patients who developed recurrence did so within three years of surgery. Predictors of recurrence on univariable analysis were cancer stage, R1 resection, lymph node metastases, perineural invasion, microvascular invasion and lymphatic invasion. Predictors of recurrence on multivariable analysis were female sex, venous resection, advancing histological stage and lymphatic invasion. Two thirds of patients have cancer recurrence following pancreaticoduodenectomy for dCCA, and most recur within three years of surgery. The commonest sites of recurrence are the pancreatic bed, liver and lung. Multiple histological features are associated with recurrence.

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