Statistical analysis of three data sources for Covid-19 monitoring in Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany.


Journal

Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
03 May 2024
Historique:
received: 08 08 2023
accepted: 29 04 2024
medline: 4 5 2024
pubmed: 4 5 2024
entrez: 3 5 2024
Statut: epublish

Résumé

In Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany, a system of three data sources has been established to track the Covid-19 pandemic. These sources are the number of Covid-19-related hospitalizations, the Covid-19 genecopies in wastewater, and the prevalence derived from a cohort study. This paper presents an extensive comparison of these parameters. It is investigated whether wastewater data and a cohort study can be valid surrogate parameters for the number of hospitalizations and thus serve as predictors for coming Covid-19 waves. We observe that this is possible in general for the cohort study prevalence, while the wastewater data suffer from a too large variability to make quantitative predictions by a purely data-driven approach. However, the wastewater data and the cohort study prevalence are able to detect hospitalizations waves in a qualitative manner. Furthermore, a detailed comparison of different normalization techniques of wastewater data is provided.

Identifiants

pubmed: 38702453
doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-60973-z
pii: 10.1038/s41598-024-60973-z
doi:

Substances chimiques

Wastewater 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

10245

Informations de copyright

© 2024. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Maximilian Pilz (M)

Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany. maximilian.pilz@itwm.fraunhofer.de.

Karl-Heinz Küfer (KH)

Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany.

Jan Mohring (J)

Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany.

Johanna Münch (J)

Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany.

Jarosław Wlazło (J)

Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany.

Neele Leithäuser (N)

Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany.

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