Ambient temperature-related sex ratio at birth in historical urban populations: the example of the city of Poznań, 1848-1900.


Journal

Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
18 Jun 2024
Historique:
received: 14 03 2024
accepted: 13 06 2024
medline: 19 6 2024
pubmed: 19 6 2024
entrez: 18 6 2024
Statut: epublish

Résumé

This study examines whether exposure to ambient temperature in nineteenth-century urban space affected the ratio of boys to girls at birth. Furthermore, we investigate the details of temperature effects timing upon sex ratio at birth. The research included 66,009 individual births, aggregated in subsequent months of births for the years 1847-1900, i.e. 33,922 boys and 32,087 girls. The statistical modelling of the probability of a girl being born is based on logistic GAM with penalized splines and automatically selected complexity. Our research emphasizes the significant effect of temperature in the year of conception: the higher the temperature was, the smaller probability of a girl being born was observed. There were also several significant temperature lags before conception and during pregnancy. Our findings indicate that in the past, ambient temperature, similar to psychological stress, hunger, malnutrition, and social and economic factors, influenced the viability of a foetus. Research on the effects of climate on the sex ratio in historical populations may allow for a better understanding of the relationship between environmental factors and reproduction, especially concerning historical populations since due to some cultural limitations, they were more prone to stronger environmental stressors than currently.

Identifiants

pubmed: 38890431
doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-64799-7
pii: 10.1038/s41598-024-64799-7
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Historical Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

14001

Subventions

Organisme : Narodowe Centrum Nauki
ID : No. UMO-2020/39/O/HS3/00524

Informations de copyright

© 2024. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Grażyna Liczbińska (G)

Institute of Human Biology and Evolution, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland. grazyna@amu.edu.pl.

Szymon Antosik (S)

Doctoral School of Humanities, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland.

Marek Brabec (M)

Department of Statistical Modelling, Institute of Computer Science, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic.
Department of Biostatistics, National Institute of Public Health, Prague, Czech Republic.

Arkadiusz M Tomczyk (AM)

Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Faculty of Geographic and Geological Sciences, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland.

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