Infectious disease responses to human climate change adaptations.

agricultural adaptation climate change mitigation food security pathogen transmission shared socioeconomic pathways vector ecology water supply and distribution

Journal

Global change biology
ISSN: 1365-2486
Titre abrégé: Glob Chang Biol
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9888746

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Aug 2024
Historique:
revised: 25 06 2024
received: 09 12 2023
accepted: 26 06 2024
medline: 22 8 2024
pubmed: 22 8 2024
entrez: 22 8 2024
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Many recent studies have examined the impact of predicted changes in temperature and precipitation patterns on infectious diseases under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. But these emissions scenarios symbolize more than altered temperature and precipitation regimes; they also represent differing levels of change in energy, transportation, and food production at a global scale to reduce the effects of climate change. The ways humans respond to climate change, either through adaptation or mitigation, have underappreciated, yet hugely impactful effects on infectious disease transmission, often in complex and sometimes nonintuitive ways. Thus, in addition to investigating the direct effects of climate changes on infectious diseases, it is critical to consider how human preventative measures and adaptations to climate change will alter the environments and hosts that support pathogens. Here, we consider the ways that human responses to climate change will likely impact disease risk in both positive and negative ways. We evaluate the evidence for these impacts based on the available data, and identify research directions needed to address climate change while minimizing externalities associated with infectious disease, especially for vulnerable communities. We identify several different human adaptations to climate change that are likely to affect infectious disease risk independently of the effects of climate change itself. We categorize these changes into adaptation strategies to secure access to water, food, and shelter, and mitigation strategies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions. We recognize that adaptation strategies are more likely to have infectious disease consequences for under-resourced communities, and call attention to the need for socio-ecological studies to connect human behavioral responses to climate change and their impacts on infectious disease. Understanding these effects is crucial as climate change intensifies and the global community builds momentum to slow these changes and reduce their impacts on human health, economic productivity, and political stability.

Identifiants

pubmed: 39171421
doi: 10.1111/gcb.17433
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Review

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e17433

Subventions

Organisme : NIH HHS
ID : R01-TW011493
Pays : United States

Informations de copyright

Global Change Biology© 2024 The Author(s). Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

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Auteurs

Georgia Titcomb (G)

Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, Warner College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.

Johnny Uelmen (J)

Triangle Center for Evolutionary Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.

Mark Janko (M)

Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

Charles Nunn (C)

Triangle Center for Evolutionary Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Department of Evolutionary Anthropology, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

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