A global flash drought inventory based on soil moisture volatility.
Journal
Scientific data
ISSN: 2052-4463
Titre abrégé: Sci Data
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101640192
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
04 Sep 2024
04 Sep 2024
Historique:
received:
06
03
2024
accepted:
21
08
2024
medline:
5
9
2024
pubmed:
5
9
2024
entrez:
4
9
2024
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Flash droughts, characterized by rapid onset and development, present significant challenges to agriculture and climate mitigation strategies. Operational drought monitoring systems, based on precipitation, soil moisture deficits, or temperature anomalies, often fall short in timely detection of these events, underscoring the need for customized identification and monitoring indices that account for the rapidity of flash drought onset. Recognizing this need, this paper introduces a global flash drought inventory from 1990 to 2021 derived using the Soil Moisture Volatility Index (SMVI). Our work expands the application of the SMVI methodology, previously focused on the United States, to a global scale, providing a tool for understanding and predicting these rapidly developing phenomena. The dataset encompasses detailed event characteristics, including onset, duration, and severity, across diverse climate zones. By integrating atmospheric variables through their impact on soil moisture, the inventory offers a platform for analyzing the drivers and impacts of flash droughts, and serves as a large, consistent dataset for use in training and evaluating flash drought prediction models.
Identifiants
pubmed: 39232019
doi: 10.1038/s41597-024-03809-9
pii: 10.1038/s41597-024-03809-9
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
965Subventions
Organisme : National Science Foundation (NSF)
ID : 1854902
Organisme : National Science Foundation (NSF)
ID : 1854902
Organisme : National Science Foundation (NSF)
ID : 1854902
Organisme : National Science Foundation (NSF)
ID : 1854902
Informations de copyright
© 2024. The Author(s).
Références
Otkin, J. A. et al. Flash Droughts: A Review and Assessment of the Challenges Imposed by Rapid-Onset Droughts in the United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 99, 911–919 (2018).
doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0149.1
Lisonbee, J., Woloszyn, M. & Skumanich, M. Making sense of flash drought: definitions, indicators, and where we go from here. J. Appl. Serv. Climatol. 2021, 1–19 (2021).
doi: 10.46275/JOASC.2021.02.001
Osman, M. et al. Flash drought onset over the contiguous United States: sensitivity of inventories and trends to quantitative definitions. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 25, 565–581 (2021).
doi: 10.5194/hess-25-565-2021
Otkin, J. A. et al. Examining Rapid Onset Drought Development Using the Thermal Infrared–Based Evaporative Stress Index. Journal of Hydrometeorology 14, 1057–1074 (2013).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0144.1
Otkin, J. A. et al. Examining the Relationship between Drought Development and Rapid Changes in the Evaporative Stress Index. J. Hydrometeorol. 15, 938–956 (2014).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-0110.1
Otkin, J. A. et al. Using Temporal Changes in Drought Indices to Generate Probabilistic Drought Intensification Forecasts. J. Hydrometeorol. 16, 88–105 (2015).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0064.1
Hunt, E. D. et al. Monitoring the effects of rapid onset of drought on non-irrigated maize with agronomic data and climate-based drought indices. Agric. For. Meteorol. 191, 1–11 (2014).
doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.02.001
Mo, K. C. & Lettenmaier, D. P. Heat wave flash droughts in decline. Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 2823–2829 (2015).
doi: 10.1002/2015GL064018
Mo, K. C. & Lettenmaier, D. P. Precipitation Deficit Flash Droughts over the United States. J. Hydrometeorol. 17, 1169–1184 (2016).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0158.1
Chen, L. G. et al. Flash Drought Characteristics Based on U.S. Drought Monitor. Atmosphere 10, 498 (2019).
doi: 10.3390/atmos10090498
Christian, J. I. et al. A Methodology for Flash Drought Identification: Application of Flash Drought Frequency Across the United States. J. Hydrometeorol. 20, 2 (2019).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0198.1
Ford, T. W. & Labosier, C. F. Meteorological conditions associated with the onset of flash drought in the Eastern United States. Agric. Forest Meteorol. 247, 414–423 (2017).
doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.08.031
Koster, R. D. et al. Flash drought as captured by reanalysis data: Disentangling the contributions of precipitation deficit and excess evapotranspiration. J. Hydrometeorol. 20, 1241–1258 (2019).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0242.1
Hoffmann, D., Gallant, A. J. E. & Hobbins, M. Flash drought in cmip5 models. J. Hydrometeorol. 22, 1439–1454 (2021).
Wang, L., Yuan, X., Xie, Z., Wu, P. & Li, Y. Increasing flash droughts over China during the recent global warming hiatus. Sci. Rep. 6 (2016).
Yuan, X. et al. Anthropogenic shift towards higher risk of flash drought over China. Nature Communications 10, 1–8 (2019).
doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-12692-7
Mahto, S. S. & Mishra, V. Dominance of summer monsoon flash droughts in India. Environ. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1d (2020).
Li, J. et al. A new framework for tracking flash drought events in space and time. Catena 194, 104763 (2020).
doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2020.104763
Otkin, J. A. et al. Development of a Flash Drought Intensity Index. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12060741 (2021).
Osman, M. et al. Diagnostic Classification of Flash Drought Events Reveals Distinct Classes of Forcings and Impacts. J. Hydrometeorol. 23, 275–289 (2022).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0134.1
Ford, T. W. et al. Flash Drought Indicator Intercomparison in the United States. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 62, 1713–1730 (2023).
doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0081.1
Alencar, P. H. L. & Paton, E. N. How do we identify flash droughts? A case study in Central European Croplands. Hydrology Res. 53, 1150–1165 (2022).
doi: 10.2166/nh.2022.003
Anderson, M. C. et al. An Intercomparison of Drought Indicators Based on Thermal Remote Sensing and NLDAS-2 Simulations with U.S. Drought Monitor Classifications. J. Hydrometeorol. 14, 1035–1056 (2013).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0140.1
Basara, J. B. et al. The evolution, propagation, and spread of flash drought in the Central United States during 2012. Environ. Res. Lett. 14, 084025 (2019).
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2cc0
Gerken, T. et al. Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 22, 4155–4163 (2018).
doi: 10.5194/hess-22-4155-2018
Hunt, E. D. et al. The development and evaluation of a soil moisture index. Int. J. Climatol. 29, 747–759 (2009).
doi: 10.1002/joc.1749
Liu, Y. et al. Two different methods for flash drought identification: Comparison of their strengths and limitations. J. Hydrometeorol. 21, 691–704 (2020).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0088.1
Otkin, J. A. et al. Assessing the evolution of soil moisture and vegetation conditions during a flash drought-flash recovery sequence over the South-Central United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology 20, 549–562 (2019).
doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0171.1
Pendergrass, A. G. et al. Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Nature Climate Change 10, 191–199 (2020).
doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-0709-0
Yuan, X. et al. A global transition to flash droughts under climate change. Science 380, 187–191, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn6301 (2023).
doi: 10.1126/science.abn6301
pubmed: 37053316
Li, B., Beaudoing, H. & Rodell, M. GLDAS Catchment Land Surface Model L4 daily 0.25 x 0.25 degree V2.0. Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), https://doi.org/10.5067/LYHA9088MFWQ (2018).
Li, B. et al. Long-term, non-anthropogenic groundwater storage changes simulated by three global-scale hydrological models. Sci. Rep. 9, 10746 (2019).
doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-47219-z
pubmed: 31341252
pmcid: 6656779
Rodell, M. et al. The Global Land Data Assimilation System. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85, 381–394 (2004).
doi: 10.1175/BAMS-85-3-381
Hersbach, H. et al. The ERA5 global reanalysis. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 146, 1999–2049 (2020).
doi: 10.1002/qj.3803
Osman, M., Zaitchik, B. F., Otkin, J., Anderson, M. & Talebpour, M. SMVI Global Flash Droughts Dataset, HydroShare, https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.b6d1d853b82247e1aeaf907ac254c99e (2024).