The challenge of phasing-out fossil fuel finance in the banking sector.


Journal

Nature communications
ISSN: 2041-1723
Titre abrégé: Nat Commun
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101528555

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
10 Sep 2024
Historique:
received: 13 12 2023
accepted: 14 08 2024
medline: 11 9 2024
pubmed: 11 9 2024
entrez: 10 9 2024
Statut: epublish

Résumé

A timely and well-managed phase-out of bank lending to the fossil fuel sector is critical if Paris climate targets are to remain within reach. Using a systems lens to explore over $7 trillion of syndicated fossil fuel debt, we show that syndicated debt markets are resilient to uncoordinated phase-out scenarios without regulatory limits on banks' fossil fuel lending. However, with regulation in place, a tipping point emerges as banks sequentially exit the sector and phase-out becomes efficient. The timing of this tipping point depends critically on the stringency of regulatory rules. It is reached sooner in scenarios where systemically important banks lead the phase-out and is delayed without regional coordination, particularly between US, Canadian and Japanese banks.

Identifiants

pubmed: 39256349
doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-51662-6
pii: 10.1038/s41467-024-51662-6
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

7881

Subventions

Organisme : EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)
ID : 802891

Informations de copyright

© 2024. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

J Rickman (J)

Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.

M Falkenberg (M)

Department of Mathematics, City University of London, London, UK. max.falkenberg@protonmail.com.

S Kothari (S)

Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.

F Larosa (F)

KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.

M Grubb (M)

Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.

N Ameli (N)

Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK. n.ameli@ucl.ac.uk.

Classifications MeSH