Unaddressed non-energy use in the chemical industry can undermine fossil fuels phase-out.


Journal

Nature communications
ISSN: 2041-1723
Titre abrégé: Nat Commun
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101528555

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
14 Sep 2024
Historique:
received: 06 02 2024
accepted: 05 09 2024
medline: 15 9 2024
pubmed: 15 9 2024
entrez: 14 9 2024
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Around 13% of fossil fuels globally are used for non-combustion purposes. Fossil fuel processing plants, such as petroleum refineries, exhibit interdependent material and energy system dynamics, making the transition away from fossil fuels in energy systems more challenging without addressing the non-energy outputs. This study explores the future role of fossil fuels for non-energy purposes in climate-stringent scenarios with restrictions on alternative feedstock availability, focusing on the primary chemicals sector. Using a global integrated assessment model with detailed refining and primary chemicals sectors, findings across various scenarios reveal that up to 62% of total feedstock use in the chemical sector could be provided by alternative sources by 2050. This would require significant scale-up in biomass utilisation and carbon capture technologies. Annual CO

Identifiants

pubmed: 39277572
doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-52434-y
pii: 10.1038/s41467-024-52434-y
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

8050

Subventions

Organisme : EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)
ID : 821124
Organisme : EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)
ID : 821124
Organisme : EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)
ID : 101056868
Organisme : EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)
ID : 821124
Organisme : Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Brazilian Federal Agency for the Support and Evaluation of Graduate Education)
ID : 88887.351681/2019-00
Organisme : Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)
ID : 141186/2020-8
Organisme : Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)
ID : 140453/2022-9

Informations de copyright

© 2024. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Marianne Zanon-Zotin (M)

Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (Cenergia), Energy Planning Program (PPE), COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Luiz Bernardo Baptista (LB)

Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (Cenergia), Energy Planning Program (PPE), COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, The Netherlands.

Rebecca Draeger (R)

Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (Cenergia), Energy Planning Program (PPE), COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Pedro R R Rochedo (PRR)

Research and Innovation Center on CO2 and Hydrogen (RICH Center) and Management Science and Engineering Department, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. pedro.rochedo@ku.ac.ae.

Alexandre Szklo (A)

Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (Cenergia), Energy Planning Program (PPE), COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Roberto Schaeffer (R)

Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (Cenergia), Energy Planning Program (PPE), COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Classifications MeSH