Poor Prognostic Factors in Long-Term Survivors of Resected Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: An International, Multicenter Cohort Study.


Journal

Annals of surgery
ISSN: 1528-1140
Titre abrégé: Ann Surg
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 0372354

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
17 Sep 2024
Historique:
medline: 17 9 2024
pubmed: 17 9 2024
entrez: 17 9 2024
Statut: aheadofprint

Résumé

To measure the rate of LTS in resected PDAC and determine the association between predictors of OS and LTS. Long-term survival (>5 y, LTS) remains rare in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Multiple predictors of overall survival (OS) are known but their association with LTS remains unclear. An international, multicenter retrospective study was conducted. Included were patients from 2012-2019 with resected PDAC. Excluded were those with metastases at diagnosis or resection, R2 resections, and 90-day mortality. Predictors of OS were identified using multivariable Cox regression and their prevalence in patients with LTS assessed. LTS was calculated by excluding patients with shorter follow-up and predictors of LTS were identified using multivariable logistic regression. 3,003 patients were included (27.4% received neoadjuvant chemotherapy). Elevated baseline CA19-9, high tumor grade, nodal disease, and perineural and lymphovascular invasion were negative independent predictors of OS, while receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy predicted improved OS (all P<0.05). LTS was observed in 220/2,436 patients (9.0%), of whom 198 (90%) harbored poor prognostic factors: elevated baseline CA19-9 (58.1%), poor tumor differentiation (51.0%), nodal disease (46.8%), and perineural invasion (76.0%). Of those without any of these four features, 50.0% achieved LTS as compared to 21.3%, 13.3%, 5.2%, and 3.5% in those with 1, 2, 3, or 4 features. This bi-national cohort demonstrates a true LTS rate of 9.0% in resected PDAC. Clinicians should remain aware that presence of poor prognostic factors does not preclude LTS.

Sections du résumé

OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
To measure the rate of LTS in resected PDAC and determine the association between predictors of OS and LTS.
SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA BACKGROUND
Long-term survival (>5 y, LTS) remains rare in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Multiple predictors of overall survival (OS) are known but their association with LTS remains unclear.
METHODS METHODS
An international, multicenter retrospective study was conducted. Included were patients from 2012-2019 with resected PDAC. Excluded were those with metastases at diagnosis or resection, R2 resections, and 90-day mortality. Predictors of OS were identified using multivariable Cox regression and their prevalence in patients with LTS assessed. LTS was calculated by excluding patients with shorter follow-up and predictors of LTS were identified using multivariable logistic regression.
RESULTS RESULTS
3,003 patients were included (27.4% received neoadjuvant chemotherapy). Elevated baseline CA19-9, high tumor grade, nodal disease, and perineural and lymphovascular invasion were negative independent predictors of OS, while receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy predicted improved OS (all P<0.05). LTS was observed in 220/2,436 patients (9.0%), of whom 198 (90%) harbored poor prognostic factors: elevated baseline CA19-9 (58.1%), poor tumor differentiation (51.0%), nodal disease (46.8%), and perineural invasion (76.0%). Of those without any of these four features, 50.0% achieved LTS as compared to 21.3%, 13.3%, 5.2%, and 3.5% in those with 1, 2, 3, or 4 features.
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
This bi-national cohort demonstrates a true LTS rate of 9.0% in resected PDAC. Clinicians should remain aware that presence of poor prognostic factors does not preclude LTS.

Identifiants

pubmed: 39286904
doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000006539
pii: 00000658-990000000-01077
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest to disclose.

Auteurs

Ammar A Javed (AA)

Department of Surgery, The NYU Grossman School of Medicine and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.
Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Department of Surgery, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Ingmar F Rompen (IF)

Department of Surgery, The NYU Grossman School of Medicine and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.
Department of General, Visceral, and Transplantation Surgery, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.

Iris W J M van Goor (IWJM)

Department of Surgery, UMC Utrecht Cancer Center and St Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein: Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Thomas F Stoop (TF)

Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Department of Surgery, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Paul Andel (P)

Department of Surgery, UMC Utrecht Cancer Center and St Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein: Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Omar Mahmud (O)

Department of Surgery, The NYU Grossman School of Medicine and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.
Medical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.

Asad Saulat Fatimi (AS)

Department of Surgery, The NYU Grossman School of Medicine and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.
Medical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.

Joseph R Habib (JR)

Department of Surgery, The NYU Grossman School of Medicine and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.

Nabiha A Mughal (NA)

Department of Surgery, The NYU Grossman School of Medicine and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.

Thijs Schouten (T)

Department of Surgery, UMC Utrecht Cancer Center and St Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein: Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Kelly Lafaro (K)

Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Richard A Burkhart (RA)

Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

William R Burns (WR)

Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Hjalmar C van Santvoort (HCV)

Department of Surgery, St Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands.

Marcel den Dulk (MD)

Department of Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Nutrim School for Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht.

Freek Daams (F)

Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Department of Surgery, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

J Sven D Mieog (JSD)

Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, the Netherlands.

Martijn W J Stommel (MWJ)

Department of Surgery, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.

Gijs A Patijn (GA)

Department of Surgery, Isala Clinics, Zwolle, The Netherlands.

Ignace de Hingh (I)

Deaprtment of Surgery, Catharina Hospital, Eindhoven, the Netherlands.

Sebastiaan Festen (S)

Department of Surgery, OLVG, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Maarten W Nijkamp (MW)

Department of Surgery, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.

Joost M Klaase (JM)

Department of Surgery, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.

Daan J Lips (DJ)

Department of Surgery, Medisch Spectrum Twente, Enschede, the Netherlands.

Jan H Wijsman (JH)

Department of Surgery, Amphia Hospital, Breda, The Netherlands.

Erwin van der Harst (EV)

Department of Surgery, Maasstad Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Eric Manusama (E)

Department of Surgery, Medical Centre Leeuwarden, Leeuwarden, the Netherlands.

Casper H J van Eijck (CHJV)

Department of Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Bas Groot Koerkamp (BG)

Department of Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Geert Kazemier (G)

Department of Surgery, Amsterdam University Medical Center (UMC), Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Olivier R Busch (OR)

Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Department of Surgery, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

I Quintus Molenaar (IQ)

Department of Surgery, UMC Utrecht Cancer Center and St Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein: Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Lois A Daamen (LA)

Department of Surgery, UMC Utrecht Cancer Center and St Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein: Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Jin He (J)

Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Christopher L Wolfgang (CL)

Department of Surgery, The NYU Grossman School of Medicine and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.

Marc G Besselink (MG)

Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Department of Surgery, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Classifications MeSH