Explainable artificial intelligence for genotype-to-phenotype prediction in plant breeding: a case study with a dataset from an almond germplasm collection.

Background

Advances in DNA sequencing revolutionized plant genomics and significantly contributed to the study of genetic diversity. However, predicting phenotypes from genomic data remains a challenge, particularly in the context of plant breeding. Despite significant progress, accurately predicting phenotypes from high-dimensional genomic data remains a challenge, particularly in identifying the key genetic factors influencing these predictions. This study aims to bridge this gap by integrating explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques with advanced machine learning models. This approach is intended to enhance both the predictive accuracy and interpretability of genotype-to-phenotype models, thereby improving their reliability and supporting more informed breeding decisions.

Results

This study compares several ML methods for genotype-to-phenotype prediction, using data available from an almond germplasm collection. After preprocessing and feature selection, regression models are employed to predict almond shelling fraction. Best predictions were obtained by the Random Forest method (correlation = 0.727 ± 0.020, an

Conclusions

Employing explainable artificial intelligence algorithms enhances model interpretability, identifying genetic polymorphisms associated with the shelling percentage. These findings underscore XAI's efficacy in predicting phenotypic traits from genomic data, highlighting its significance in optimizing crop production for sustainable agriculture.

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024 Novielli, Romano, Pavan, Losciale, Stellacci, Diacono, Bellotti and Tangaro.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. The author(s) declared that they were an editorial board member of Frontiers, at the time of submission. This had no impact on the peer review process and the final decision.