Prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with curative-intent conventional radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important side effect of thoracic Radiotherapy (RT), which may impair quality of life and survival. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for new-onset AF in patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) receiving RT alone or as a part of their multi-modal treatment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with stage I-IV NSCLC treated with curative-intent conventional photon RT were included. The baseline electrocardiogram (ECG) was compared with follow-up ECGs to identify the occurrence of new-onset AF. A wide range of potential clinical predictors and dose-volume measures on the whole heart and six automatically contoured cardiac substructures, including chambers and conduction nodes, were considered for statistical modeling. Internal validation with optimism-correction was performed. A nomogram was made.

RESULTS

374 patients (mean age 69 ± 10 years, 57 % male) were included. At baseline, 9.1 % of patients had AF, and 42 (11.2 %) patients developed new-onset AF. The following parameters were predictive: older age (OR=1.04, 95 % CI: 1.013-1.068), being overweight or obese (OR=1.791, 95 % CI: 1.139-2.816), alcohol use (OR=4.052, 95 % CI: 2.445-6.715), history of cardiac procedures (OR=2.329, 95 % CI: 1.287-4.215), tumor located in the upper lobe (OR=2.571, 95 % CI: 1.518-4.355), higher forced expiratory volume in 1 s (OR=0.989, 95 % CI: 0.979-0.999), higher creatinine (OR=1.008, 95 % CI: 1.002-1.014), concurrent chemotherapy (OR=3.266, 95 % CI: 1.757 to 6.07) and left atrium D

CONCLUSION

This prediction model employs readily available predictors to identify patients at high risk of new-onset AF who could potentially benefit from active screening and timely management of post-RT AF.

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier B.V.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.