Seismic slip channeling along the East Anatolian Fault illuminates long-term supercycle behavior.
Journal
Nature communications
ISSN: 2041-1723
Titre abrégé: Nat Commun
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101528555
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
16 Oct 2024
16 Oct 2024
Historique:
received:
16
03
2024
accepted:
08
10
2024
medline:
17
10
2024
pubmed:
17
10
2024
entrez:
16
10
2024
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
The two Mw > 7.5 earthquakes that struck the East Anatolian Fault (EAF), Türkiye, in 2023 caused more slip than expected, indicating that they were potentially part of a supercycle, in which the occurrence probability of a large earthquake is determined by accumulated strain rather than time since the last large earthquake. Here, we show two potential supercycles along the EAF, analyzing earthquakes from the last two millennia. Within each supercycle, seismic ruptures originated in the northeast and progressively spread southwestward with an increasing number of earthquakes until a new supercycle began with another large earthquake in the northeast. To understand the supercycle behavior, we analyze the aftershock sequences of the four most recent Mw≥6.1 mainshocks (2010-2023). This series of earthquakes progressed southwestward, characterized by an increasing diversity of focal mechanisms and a heightened dispersion of epicenters across a branched seismotectonic environment. Earthquakes in the northeast exhibit spatial and kinematic channeling along the master fault surface, effectively transferring slip southwestward and there potentially triggering dispersed and heterogeneous earthquakes. This spatiotemporal pattern seems connected with varying levels of a presumably-innate property of fault sections or regions, ruling the process of seismic slip channeling, which could also explain the behavior of long-term supercycles.
Identifiants
pubmed: 39414784
doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-53234-0
pii: 10.1038/s41467-024-53234-0
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
8921Informations de copyright
© 2024. The Author(s).
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