Predicting Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Based on Analysis of Standard Electrocardiograms: A Systematic Review.

atrial fibrillation electrocardiogram entropy frequency analysis machine learning prediction termination time–frequency analysis

Journal

Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc
ISSN: 1542-474X
Titre abrégé: Ann Noninvasive Electrocardiol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 9607443

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Nov 2024
Historique:
revised: 30 09 2024
received: 29 02 2024
accepted: 02 10 2024
medline: 25 10 2024
pubmed: 25 10 2024
entrez: 25 10 2024
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Forward prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) termination is a challenging technical problem of increasing significance due to rising AF presentations to emergency departments worldwide. The ability to non-invasively predict which AF episodes will terminate has important implications in terms of clinical decision-making surrounding treatment and admission, with subsequent impacts on hospital capacity and the economic cost of AF hospitalizations. MEDLINE, EMCare, CINAHL, CENTRAL, and SCOPUS were searched on 29 July 2023 for articles where an attempt to predict AF termination was made using standard surface ECG recordings. The final review included 35 articles. Signal processing techniques fit into three broad categories including machine learning (n = 14), entropy analysis (n = 12), and time-frequency/frequency analysis (n = 9). Retrospectively processed ECG data was used in all studies with no prospective validation studies. Most studies (n = 33) utilized the same ECG database, which included recordings that either terminated within 1 min or continued for over 1 h. There was no significant difference in accuracy between groups (H(2) = 0.058, p-value = 0.971). Only one study assessed recordings earlier than several minutes preceding termination, achieving 92% accuracy using the central 10 s of paroxysmal episodes lasting up to 174. No studies attempted to forward predict AF termination in real-time, representing an opportunity for novel prospective validation studies. Multiple signal processing techniques have proven accurate in predicting AF termination utilizing ECG recordings sourced from a database retrospectively.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Forward prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) termination is a challenging technical problem of increasing significance due to rising AF presentations to emergency departments worldwide. The ability to non-invasively predict which AF episodes will terminate has important implications in terms of clinical decision-making surrounding treatment and admission, with subsequent impacts on hospital capacity and the economic cost of AF hospitalizations.
METHODS AND RESULTS RESULTS
MEDLINE, EMCare, CINAHL, CENTRAL, and SCOPUS were searched on 29 July 2023 for articles where an attempt to predict AF termination was made using standard surface ECG recordings. The final review included 35 articles. Signal processing techniques fit into three broad categories including machine learning (n = 14), entropy analysis (n = 12), and time-frequency/frequency analysis (n = 9). Retrospectively processed ECG data was used in all studies with no prospective validation studies. Most studies (n = 33) utilized the same ECG database, which included recordings that either terminated within 1 min or continued for over 1 h. There was no significant difference in accuracy between groups (H(2) = 0.058, p-value = 0.971). Only one study assessed recordings earlier than several minutes preceding termination, achieving 92% accuracy using the central 10 s of paroxysmal episodes lasting up to 174.
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
No studies attempted to forward predict AF termination in real-time, representing an opportunity for novel prospective validation studies. Multiple signal processing techniques have proven accurate in predicting AF termination utilizing ECG recordings sourced from a database retrospectively.

Identifiants

pubmed: 39451064
doi: 10.1111/anec.70025
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Systematic Review Review

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e70025

Informations de copyright

© 2024 The Author(s). Annals of Noninvasive Electrocardiology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.

Références

Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2007a. “Non‐Linear Analysis of the Main Atrial Wave to Estimate Organization in Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation.” Computers in Cardiology 2007: 545–548.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2007b. “Robust Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation Termination Using Wavelet Bidomain Entropy Analysis.” Computers in Cardiology 2007: 577–580.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2008. “Wavelet Bidomain Sample Entropy Analysis to Predict Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation.” Physiological Measurement 29, no. 1: 65–80.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2009a. “Sample Entropy of the Main Atrial Wave Predicts Spontaneous Termination of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation.” Medical Engineering & Physics 31, no. 8: 917–922.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2009b. “Surface ECG Organization Analysis to Predict Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation Termination.” Computers in Biology and Medicine 39, no. 8: 697–706.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2009c. “Non‐Invasive Organization Variation Assessment in the Onset and Termination of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation.” Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine 93, no. 2: 148–154.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2010. “The Application of Nonlinear Metrics to Assess Organization Differences in Short Recordings of Paroxysmal and Persistent Atrial Fibrillation.” Physiological Measurement 31, no. 1: 115–130.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2012a. “Application of Wavelet Entropy to Predict Atrial Fibrillation Progression From the Surface ECG.” Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine 2012: 1–9.
Alcaraz, R., and J. J. Rieta. 2012b. “Central Tendency Measure and Wavelet Transform Combined in the Non‐Invasive Analysis of Atrial Fibrillation Recordings.” Biomedical Engineering Online 11: 46.
Alcaraz, R., C. Vaya, R. Cervigon, C. Sanchez, and J. J. Rieta. 2006. “Wavelet Sample Entropy: A New Approach to Predict Termination of Atrial Fibrillation.” Computers in Cardiology 2006: 597–600.
Aunes‐Jansson, M., N. Edvardsson, M. Stridh, L. Sörnmo, L. Frison, and A. Berggren. 2013. “Decrease of the Atrial Fibrillatory Rate, Increased Organization of the Atrial Rhythm and Termination of Atrial Fibrillation by AZD7009.” Journal of Electrocardiology 46, no. 1: 29–35.
Bollmann, A., D. Husser, L. Mainardi, et al. 2006. “Analysis of Surface Electrocardiograms in Atrial Fibrillation: Techniques, Research, and Clinical Applications.” Europace 8, no. 11: 911–926.
Bollmann, A., N. K. Kanuru, K. K. McTeague, P. F. Walter, D. B. DeLurgio, and J. J. Langberg. 1998. “Frequency Analysis of Human Atrial Fibrillation Using the Surface Electrocardiogram and Its Response to Ibutilide.” American Journal of Cardiology 81, no. 12: 1439–1445.
Bollmann, A., K. Sonne, H. D. Esperer, I. Toepffer, J. J. Langberg, and H. U. Klein. 1999. “Non‐Invasive Assessment of Fibrillatory Activity in Patients With Paroxysmal and Persistent Atrial Fibrillation Using the Holter ECG.” Cardiovascular Research 44, no. 1: 60–66.
Bukkapatnam, S., R. Komanduri, H. Yang, et al. 2008. “Classification of Atrial Fibrillation Episodes From Sparse Electrocardiogram Data.” Journal of Electrocardiology 41, no. 4: 292–299.
Cantini, F., F. Conforti, M. Varanini, F. Chiarugi, and G. Vrouchos. 2004. “Predicting the End of an Atrial Fibrillation Episode: The PhysioNet Challenge.” Computers in Cardiology 31: 121–124.
Chiarugi, F., M. Varanini, F. Cantini, F. Conforti, and G. Vrouchos. 2007. “Noninvasive ECG as a Tool for Predicting Termination of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation.” IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering 54, no. 8: 1399–1406.
Choudhary, M. B., F. Holmqvist, J. Carlson, H. J. Nilsson, A. Roijer, and P. G. Platonov. 2013. “Low Atrial Fibrillatory Rate Is Associated With Spontaneous Conversion of Recent‐Onset Atrial Fibrillation.” Europace 15, no. 10: 1445–1452.
Dharmaprani, D., L. Dykes, A. D. McGavigan, P. Kuklik, K. Pope, and A. N. Ganesan. 2018. “Information Theory and Atrial Fibrillation (AF): A Review.” Frontiers in Physiology 9: 957.
Esgiar, A. N., and P. K. Chakravorty. 2004. “Electrocardiogram Signal Classification Based on Fractal Features.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 661–664.
Fujiki, A., M. Sakabe, K. Nishida, et al. 2004. “Drug‐Induced Changes in Fibrillation Cycle Length and Organization Index Can Predict Chemical Cardioversion of Long‐Lasting Atrial Fibrillation With Bepridil Alone or in Combination With Aprindine.” Circulation Journal 68, no. 12: 1139–1145.
Fujiki, A., T. Tsuneda, M. Sugao, K. Mizumaki, and H. Inoue. 2003. “Usefulness and Safety of Bepridil in Converting Persistent Atrial Fibrillation to Sinus Rhythm.” American Journal of Cardiology 92, no. 4: 472–475.
Hayn, D., K. Edegger, D. Scherr, et al. 2004. “Automated Prediction of Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation From Electrocardiograms.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 117–120.
Hayn, D., A. Kollmann, and G. Schreier. 2007. “Predicting Initiation and Termination of Atrial Fibrillation From the ECG.” Biomedizinische Technik. Biomedical Engineering 52, no. 1: 5–10.
Hindricks, G., T. Potpara, N. Dagres, et al. 2021. “2020 ESC Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation Developed in Collaboration With the European Association for Cardio‐Thoracic Surgery (EACTS).” European Heart Journal 42, no. 5: 373–498.
Holm, M., S. Pehrson, M. Ingemansson, et al. 1998. “Non‐Invasive Assessment of the Atrial Cycle Length During Atrial Fibrillation in Man: Introducing, Validating and Illustrating a New ECG Method.” Cardiovascular Research 38, no. 1: 69–81.
Husser, D., D. S. Cannom, A. K. Bhandari, et al. 2007. “Electrocardiographic Characteristics of Fibrillatory Waves in New‐Onset Atrial Fibrillation.” Europace 9, no. 8: 638–642.
Joglar, J. A., M. K. Chung, A. L. Armbruster, et al. 2024. “2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines.” Circulation 149, no. 1: e1–e156.
Langley, P., J. Allen, E. J. Bowers, et al. 2004. “Analysis of RR Interval and Fibrillation Frequency and Amplitude for Predicting Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 637–640.
Latchamsetty, R., and A. G. Kocheril. 2009. “Review of Dominant Frequency Analysis in Atrial Fibrillation.” Journal of Atrial Fibrillation 2, no. 3: 204.
Lemay, M., Z. Ihara, J. M. Vesin, and L. Kappenberger. 2004. “Computers in Cardiology/Physionet Challenge 2004: AF Classification Based on Clinical Features.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 669–672.
Logan, B., and J. Healey. 2004. “Detection of Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 653–656.
Mainardi, L. T., M. Matteucci, and R. Sassi. 2004. “On Predicting the Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Episodes Using Linear and Non‐Linear Parameters of ECG Signal and RR Series.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 665–668.
Mochalina, N., T. Juhlin, B. Öhlin, J. Carlson, F. Holmqvist, and P. G. Platonov. 2015. “Predictors of Successful Cardioversion With Vernakalant in Patients With Recent‐Onset Atrial Fibrillation.” Annals of Noninvasive Electrocardiology 20, no. 2: 140–147.
Mohebbi, M., and H. Ghassemian. 2014. “Predicting Termination of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation Using Empirical Mode Decomposition of the Atrial Activity and Statistical Features of the Heart Rate Variability.” Medical & Biological Engineering & Computing 52, no. 5: 415–427.
Moody, G. B. 2004. “Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation: A Challenge From PhysioNet and Computers in Cardiology 2004.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 101–104.
Mora, C., J. Castells, R. Ruiz, et al. 2004. “Prediction of Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Using Time Frequency Analysis of the Atrial Fibrillatory Wave.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 109–112.
Nilsson, F., M. Stridh, A. Bollmann, and L. Sörnmo. 2004. “Predicting Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation With Time‐Frequency Information.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 657–660.
Nilsson, F., M. Stridh, A. Bollmann, and L. Sörnmo. 2006. “Predicting Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Using the Surface ECG.” Medical Engineering & Physics 28, no. 8: 802–808.
Parvaneh, S., M. R. Golpayegani, M. Firoozabadi, and M. Haghjoo. 2012. “Predicting the Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Based on Poincare Section in the Electrocardiogram Phase Space.” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers. Part H 226, no. 1: 3–20.
Petrutiu, S., A. V. Sahakian, J. Ng, and S. Swiryn. 2004. “Analysis of the Surface Electrocardiogram to Predict Termination of Atrial Fibrillation: The 2004 Computers in Cardiology/PhysioNet Challenge.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 105–108.
Pluymaekers, N., A. Hermans, D. Linz, et al. 2020. “Frequency and Determinants of Spontaneous Conversion to Sinus Rhythm in Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department With Recent‐Onset Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review.” Arrhythmia & Electrophysiology Review 9, no. 4: 195–201.
Pluymaekers, N. A. H. A., E. A. M. P. Dudink, J. G. L. M. Luermans, et al. 2019. “RACE 7 ACWAS Investigators. Early or Delayed Cardioversion in Recent‐Onset Atrial Fibrillation.” New England Journal of Medicine 380, no. 16: 1499–1508.
Roberts, F. M., and R. J. Povinelli. 2004. “A Statistical Feature Based Approach to Predicting Termination of Atrial Fibrillation.” Computers in Cardiology 31: 673–676.
Saberi, S., V. Esmaeili, F. Towhidkhah, and M. H. Moradi. 2008. “Predicting Atrial Fibrillation Termination Using ECG Features, a Comparison.” In: 2008 1st International Symposium on Applied Sciences in Biomedical and Communication Technologies, Isabel.
Schwartz, R. A., and J. J. Langberg. 2000. “Atrial Electrophysiological Effects of Ibutilide Infusion in Humans.” Pacing and Clinical Electrophysiology 23, no. 5: 832–836.
Sezgin, N. 2013. “Nonlinear Analysis of Electrocardiography Signals for Atrial Fibrillation.” Scientific World Journal 2013: 509784.
Stridh, M., and L. Sörnmo. 2001. “Spatiotemporal QRST Cancellation Techniques for Analysis of Atrial Fibrillation.” IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering 48, no. 1: 105–111.
Sun, R., and Y. Wang. 2008. “Predicting Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Based on the Structure and Quantification of the Recurrence Plot.” Medical Engineering & Physics 30, no. 9: 1105–1111.
Sun, R. R., and Y. Y. Wang. 2009. “Predicting Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Based on the RR Interval.” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers. Part H 223, no. 6: 713–726.
Vaya, C., and J. J. Rieta. 2007. “Analysis of Spectrogram Parameter Organization Applied to the Characterization of Atrial Fibrillation.” Computers in Cardiology 2007: 509–512.
Vaya, C., and J. J. Rieta. 2008. “Combined Analysis of Time and Frequency Series Regularity Applied to the Study of Atrial Fibrillation.” Computers in Cardiology 2008: 73–76.
Vaya, C., and J. J. Rieta. 2009. “Time and Frequency Series Combination for Non‐Invasive Regularity Analysis of Atrial Fibrillation.” Medical & Biological Engineering & Computing 47, no. 7: 687–696.
Vaya, C., J. J. Rieta, R. Alcaraz, C. Sanchez, and R. Cervigon. 2006. “Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation Termination by Approximate Entropy in the Time‐Frequency Domain.” Computers in Cardiology 2006: 589–592.
Xi, Q., and S. Shkurovich. 2004. “Prediction of Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation in Surface ECG by Frequency Analysis.” Computers in Cardiology 2004: 113–116.

Auteurs

Brandon Wadforth (B)

College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
Division of Medicine, Cardiac and Critical Care, Flinders Medical Centre, Adelaide, Australia.

Jing Soong Goh (JS)

College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.

Kathryn Tiver (K)

College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
Department of Cardiac Electrophysiology, Flinders Medical Centre, Adelaide, Australia.

Sobhan Salari Shahrbabaki (SS)

College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.

Ivaylo Tonchev (I)

College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
Department of Cardiac Electrophysiology, Flinders Medical Centre, Adelaide, Australia.

Dhani Dharmaprani (D)

College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
Australian Institute for Machine Learning, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia.

Anand N Ganesan (AN)

College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
Department of Cardiac Electrophysiology, Flinders Medical Centre, Adelaide, Australia.

Articles similaires

[Redispensing of expensive oral anticancer medicines: a practical application].

Lisanne N van Merendonk, Kübra Akgöl, Bastiaan Nuijen
1.00
Humans Antineoplastic Agents Administration, Oral Drug Costs Counterfeit Drugs

Smoking Cessation and Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

Jun Hwan Cho, Seung Yong Shin, Hoseob Kim et al.
1.00
Humans Male Smoking Cessation Cardiovascular Diseases Female
Humans United States Aged Cross-Sectional Studies Medicare Part C
1.00
Humans Yoga Low Back Pain Female Male

Classifications MeSH