Validation of Artificial Intelligence-Based POTTER Calculator in Emergency General Surgery Patients Undergoing Laparotomy: Prospective, Bi-Institutional Study.

BACKGROUND

The POTTER calculator, a widely used interpretable artificial intelligence (AI) risk calculator, has been validated in population-based studies and shown to predict outcomes in emergency general surgery (EGS) patients better than surgeons. We sought to prospectively validate POTTER.

STUDY DESIGN

Patients undergoing an emergency exploratory laparotomy for non-trauma indications at two Academic Medical Centers between June 2020 and March 2022 were included. POTTER preoperative risk calculations and postoperative outcomes were systematically recorded. POTTER's performance in predicting 30-day postoperative mortality, septic shock, respiratory failure, bleeding, and pneumonia was assessed using the c-statistic methodology.

RESULTS

A total of 361 patients were included. The median age was 63 years (IQR: 51-72), 45.4% were females, and the overall mortality and morbidity were 24.1% and 51.4%, respectively. POTTER predicted mortality accurately with a c-statistic of 0.90. POTTER also accurately predicted the occurrence of individual postoperative complications, with c-statistics ranging between 0.80 and 0.89.

CONCLUSION

This is the first prospective validation of the AI-enabled POTTER calculator. The superior accuracy, user-friendliness, and interpretability of POTTER make it a useful bedside tool for preoperative patient and family counseling.

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2024 by the American College of Surgeons. Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.