Strategies to improve survival outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) given a fixed budget: A simulation study.
Ambulance response time
Automated external defibrillator
Cardiac arrest
Cardiopulmonary resuscitation
Cost-effectiveness
OHCA
Registry
Simulation
Journal
Resuscitation
ISSN: 1873-1570
Titre abrégé: Resuscitation
Pays: Ireland
ID NLM: 0332173
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
04 2020
04 2020
Historique:
received:
19
09
2019
revised:
13
01
2020
accepted:
22
01
2020
pubmed:
7
2
2020
medline:
22
6
2021
entrez:
7
2
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Our study aimed to identify a strategy that maximizes survival upon hospital discharge or 30-days post out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Singapore for fixed investments of S$1, S$5, or S$10 million. Four strategies were compared: (1) no additional investment; (2) reducing response time via leasing of more ambulances; (3) increasing number of people trained in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR); and (4) automated external defibrillators (AED). We estimated the effect of ambulance response time, bystander CPR and AED on survival based on Singapore's 2010-2015 OHCA registry data. We simulated the changes in ambulance response times and likelihood of (1) CPR and (2) AED usage as a function of their increased availability, which was then combined with the effect of each factor to determine the increase in survival for each strategy. Survival given no additional investment was 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%). The investments in ambulances, CPR training and AEDs for a given budget of S$1M changed survival to 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%), 4.04% (95% CI: 3.98%, 4.11%), and 4.44% (95% CI: 4.35%, 4.54%), respectively. This generated 0, 2 and 102 additional life years saved respectively. Given a budget of S$5M or S$10M, 509 or 886 additional life years could be saved, by investing in an additional 10,000 or 20,000 AEDs respectively. The strategies reached a saturation effect whereby improvement in survival was marginal when the budget was increased to ≥S$5M for investment in ambulances and CPR training. Investing in AEDs had the most gain in survival.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
Our study aimed to identify a strategy that maximizes survival upon hospital discharge or 30-days post out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Singapore for fixed investments of S$1, S$5, or S$10 million. Four strategies were compared: (1) no additional investment; (2) reducing response time via leasing of more ambulances; (3) increasing number of people trained in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR); and (4) automated external defibrillators (AED).
METHODS
We estimated the effect of ambulance response time, bystander CPR and AED on survival based on Singapore's 2010-2015 OHCA registry data. We simulated the changes in ambulance response times and likelihood of (1) CPR and (2) AED usage as a function of their increased availability, which was then combined with the effect of each factor to determine the increase in survival for each strategy.
RESULTS
Survival given no additional investment was 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%). The investments in ambulances, CPR training and AEDs for a given budget of S$1M changed survival to 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%), 4.04% (95% CI: 3.98%, 4.11%), and 4.44% (95% CI: 4.35%, 4.54%), respectively. This generated 0, 2 and 102 additional life years saved respectively. Given a budget of S$5M or S$10M, 509 or 886 additional life years could be saved, by investing in an additional 10,000 or 20,000 AEDs respectively. The strategies reached a saturation effect whereby improvement in survival was marginal when the budget was increased to ≥S$5M for investment in ambulances and CPR training.
CONCLUSIONS
Investing in AEDs had the most gain in survival.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32027981
pii: S0300-9572(20)30050-2
doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2020.01.026
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
39-46Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.