Etiology and mortality in severe acute pancreatitis: A multicenter study in Japan.


Journal

Pancreatology : official journal of the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP) ... [et al.]
ISSN: 1424-3911
Titre abrégé: Pancreatology
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 100966936

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Apr 2020
Historique:
received: 19 11 2019
revised: 20 02 2020
accepted: 04 03 2020
pubmed: 22 3 2020
medline: 27 2 2021
entrez: 22 3 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has a high mortality rate despite ongoing attempts to improve prognosis through a various therapeutic modalities. This study aimed to delineate etiology-based routes that may guide clinical decisions for the treatment of SAP. Using data from a recent retrospective multicenter study in Japan, we analyzed the association between clinical outcomes, mainly in-hospital mortality and pancreatic infection, and various etiologies while considering confounding factors. We performed additional multivariate analyses and built decision tree models. The 1097 participating patients were classified into the following groups by etiology: alcohol (n = 436, 39.7%); cholelithiasis (n = 230, 21.0%); idiopathic (n = 227, 20.7%); and others (n = 204, 18.6%). Mortality at hospital discharge was 8.4%, 12.2%, 16.7%, and 16.2% in the alcohol, cholelithiasis, idiopathic, and others groups, respectively. According to multivariable analysis, early enteral nutrition (EN) was significantly associated with reduced in-hospital mortality only in the cholelithiasis group. However, there was a consistent association between age and the need for mechanical ventilation and increased mortality, regardless of etiology. Our decision tree models presented different contributing factors depending on the etiology and patient background. Interaction analysis showed that EN and the use of prophylactic antibiotics may influence these results differently according to etiology. No study has yet used comprehensive models to investigate etiology-related prognostic factors for SAP; our results can, therefore, be used as a reference for improving clinical decisions.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES OBJECTIVE
Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has a high mortality rate despite ongoing attempts to improve prognosis through a various therapeutic modalities. This study aimed to delineate etiology-based routes that may guide clinical decisions for the treatment of SAP.
METHODS METHODS
Using data from a recent retrospective multicenter study in Japan, we analyzed the association between clinical outcomes, mainly in-hospital mortality and pancreatic infection, and various etiologies while considering confounding factors. We performed additional multivariate analyses and built decision tree models.
RESULTS RESULTS
The 1097 participating patients were classified into the following groups by etiology: alcohol (n = 436, 39.7%); cholelithiasis (n = 230, 21.0%); idiopathic (n = 227, 20.7%); and others (n = 204, 18.6%). Mortality at hospital discharge was 8.4%, 12.2%, 16.7%, and 16.2% in the alcohol, cholelithiasis, idiopathic, and others groups, respectively. According to multivariable analysis, early enteral nutrition (EN) was significantly associated with reduced in-hospital mortality only in the cholelithiasis group. However, there was a consistent association between age and the need for mechanical ventilation and increased mortality, regardless of etiology. Our decision tree models presented different contributing factors depending on the etiology and patient background. Interaction analysis showed that EN and the use of prophylactic antibiotics may influence these results differently according to etiology.
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
No study has yet used comprehensive models to investigate etiology-related prognostic factors for SAP; our results can, therefore, be used as a reference for improving clinical decisions.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32198057
pii: S1424-3903(20)30092-2
doi: 10.1016/j.pan.2020.03.001
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Multicenter Study

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

307-317

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2020 IAP and EPC. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of competing interest The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Auteurs

Hideto Yasuda (H)

Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Kameda Medical Center, 929, Higashi-chou, Kamogawa-shi, Chiba, Japan; Department of Clinical Research Education and Training Unit, Keio University Hospital Clinical and Translational Research Center (CTR), Shinanomachi 35, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Masayasu Horibe (M)

Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35, Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan; Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, 2-8-29, Musashidai, Fuchu City, Tokyo, Japan.

Masamitsu Sanui (M)

Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Jichi Medical University Saitama Medical Center, 1-847 Amanumacho, Omiya-ku, Saitama, Japan. Electronic address: msanui@mac.com.

Mitsuhito Sasaki (M)

Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital, 5-1-1, Tsukiji, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Naoya Suzuki (N)

Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Musashino Hospital, 1-26-1, Kyounancho, Musasino City, Tokyo, Japan.

Hirotaka Sawano (H)

Senri Critical Care Medical Center, Osaka Saiseikai Senri Hospital, 1-1-6 Tsukumodai, Suita, Osaka, Japan.

Takashi Goto (T)

Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Hiroshima City Hiroshima Citizens Hospital, 7-33, Motomachi, Naka-ku, Hiroshima City, Hiroshima, Japan.

Tsukasa Ikeura (T)

Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kansai Medical University, 2-5-1, Shinmachi, Hirakata, Osaka, Japan.

Tsuyoshi Takeda (T)

Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Takuya Oda (T)

Department of General Internal Medicine, Iizuka Hospital, 3-83 Yoshiomachi, Iizuka-shi, Fukuoka, Japan.

Yuki Ogura (Y)

Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, 2-8-29, Musashidai, Fuchu City, Tokyo, Japan.

Dai Miyazaki (D)

Advanced Emergency Medical and Critical Care Center, Japanese Redcross Maebashi Hospital, 3-21-36, Asahi-cho, Maebashi City, Gunma, Japan; Department of Medicine, Harima Rehabiritation Program Center, 675-1297, 544 Sousa, Yahata-chou, Kakogawa-city, Hyogo, Japan.

Katsuya Kitamura (K)

Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical University Hachioji Medical Center, 1163 Tatemachi, Hachioji-shi, Tokyo, Japan; Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Showa University School of Medicine, 1-5-8 Hatanodai, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Nobutaka Chiba (N)

Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Nihon University Hospital, 1-6 Kanda-Surugadai, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Tetsu Ozaki (T)

Department of Acute Care and General Medicine, Saiseikai Kumamoto Hospital, 5-3-1, Chikami, Minami-ku, Kumamoto City, Kumamoto, Japan.

Takahiro Yamashita (T)

Emergency Medical Center, Fukuyama City Hospital, 5-23-1, Zaocho, Fukuyama City, Hiroshima, Japan; Acute Care Medical Center, Hyogo Prefectural Kakogawa Medical Center, 203 Kanno, Kanno-cho, Kakogawa City, Hyogo, Japan.

Toshitaka Koinuma (T)

Division of Intensive Care, Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, 3311-1 Yakushiji, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.

Taku Oshima (T)

Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Chiba University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-8-1, Inohana, Chuo-ku, Chiba City, Chiba, Japan.

Tomonori Yamamoto (T)

Department of Traumatology and Critical Care Medicine, Osaka City University, Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahimachi, Abenoku, Osaka City, Osaka, Japan.

Morihisa Hirota (M)

Division of Gastroenterology, Tohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University, 1-15-1 Fukumuro, Miyagino-ku, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.

Mizuki Sato (M)

Department of Critical Care and Emergency Medicine, Kurashiki Central Hospital, 1-1-1, Miwa, Kurashiki City, Okayama, Japan.

Kyohei Miyamoto (K)

Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Wakayama Medical University, 811-1, Kimiidera, Wakayama-City, Wakayama, Japan.

Tetsuya Mine (T)

Department of Gastroenterology, Tokai University School of Medicine, 143 Shimokasuya, Isehara, Kanagawa, Japan.

Takuyo Misumi (T)

Department of Anesthesiology, Kobe University Hospital, 7-5-2 Kusunoki-cho, Chuo-ku, Kobe City, Japan.

Yuki Takeda (Y)

Internal Medicine (Gastroenterology), Tokyo Rosai Hospital, 4-13-21, Ohmori-Minami, Ohta-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Eisuke Iwasaki (E)

Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35, Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Takanori Kanai (T)

Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35, Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan.

Toshihiko Mayumi (T)

Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine University of Occupational and Environmental Health, 1-1, Iseigaoka, Yahata Nishi, KitaKyushu, Fukuoka, Japan.

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