The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak.

COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 asymptomatic transmission basic reproduction number coronavirus disease

Journal

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Titre abrégé: medRxiv
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101767986

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
14 Apr 2020
Historique:
pubmed: 9 6 2020
medline: 9 6 2020
entrez: 9 6 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

The role of asymptomatic carriers in transmission poses challenges for control of the COVID-19 pandemic. Study of asymptomatic transmission and implications for surveillance and disease burden are ongoing, but there has been little study of the implications of asymptomatic transmission on dynamics of disease. We use a mathematical framework to evaluate expected effects of asymptomatic transmission on the basic reproduction number

Identifiants

DOI: 10.1101/2020.03.09.20033514 PMID: 32511456 PMC: PMC7239084
pubmed: 32511456
doi: 10.1101/2020.03.09.20033514
pmc: PMC7239084
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Preprint

Langues

eng

Commentaires et corrections

Type : UpdateIn

Auteurs

Sang Woo Park (SW)

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.

Daniel M Cornforth (DM)

School of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Jonathan Dushoff (J)

Department of Biology, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
M. G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.

Joshua S Weitz (JS)

School of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.
School of Physics, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Classifications MeSH