Body shape trajectories and mortality in the Seguimiento universidad de Navarra (SUN) cohort.
Body shape
Mortality
Obesity
Overweight
Trajectories
Journal
Nutrition, metabolism, and cardiovascular diseases : NMCD
ISSN: 1590-3729
Titre abrégé: Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 9111474
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
24 09 2020
24 09 2020
Historique:
received:
22
08
2019
revised:
31
05
2020
accepted:
03
06
2020
pubmed:
30
7
2020
medline:
11
11
2020
entrez:
30
7
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
The aim of this study was to assess the association between body shape trajectories and all-cause mortality in a Mediterranean cohort. Using a group-based modeling approach to fit body shape trajectories from the age of 5-40 years, among 11,423 participants from the Spanish SUN cohort, we assessed the subsequent risk of all-cause mortality. To create the trajectories, we used a censored normal model as a polynomial function of age. Cox regression models adjusted for sex, age, years of university education, marital status, smoking status, package-years of smoking, and recruitment period were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) for mortality according to each assigned trajectory. Overall, five distinct trajectories were identified: "lean-moderate increase," "medium-moderate increase," "medium-stable," "heavy-medium," and "heavy-moderate increase." During 106,657 person-years of follow-up, we observed 240 deaths. Compared with those who maintained a medium body shape in early and middle life ("medium-stable" trajectory), those who were heavy and had a moderate increase ("heavy-moderate increase" trajectory) showed higher mortality risk [HR = 1.91 (95% confidence interval: 1.14-3.21)]. In contrast, participants who were heavy in early life, and then decreased their body shape during early adulthood, and maintained a medium body shape throughout middle adulthood ("heavy-medium"), tend to exhibit lower mortality risk [HR = 0.60 (0.34-1.05)], similarly to those who were lean at childhood and had a moderate increase during adulthood ("lean-moderate increase") [HR = 0.82 (0.58-1.15)]. A moderate increase in body shape among subjects who were already heavy at early life was associated with higher risk of mortality in a Mediterranean cohort of university graduates.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND AND AIM
The aim of this study was to assess the association between body shape trajectories and all-cause mortality in a Mediterranean cohort.
METHODS AND RESULTS
Using a group-based modeling approach to fit body shape trajectories from the age of 5-40 years, among 11,423 participants from the Spanish SUN cohort, we assessed the subsequent risk of all-cause mortality. To create the trajectories, we used a censored normal model as a polynomial function of age. Cox regression models adjusted for sex, age, years of university education, marital status, smoking status, package-years of smoking, and recruitment period were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) for mortality according to each assigned trajectory. Overall, five distinct trajectories were identified: "lean-moderate increase," "medium-moderate increase," "medium-stable," "heavy-medium," and "heavy-moderate increase." During 106,657 person-years of follow-up, we observed 240 deaths. Compared with those who maintained a medium body shape in early and middle life ("medium-stable" trajectory), those who were heavy and had a moderate increase ("heavy-moderate increase" trajectory) showed higher mortality risk [HR = 1.91 (95% confidence interval: 1.14-3.21)]. In contrast, participants who were heavy in early life, and then decreased their body shape during early adulthood, and maintained a medium body shape throughout middle adulthood ("heavy-medium"), tend to exhibit lower mortality risk [HR = 0.60 (0.34-1.05)], similarly to those who were lean at childhood and had a moderate increase during adulthood ("lean-moderate increase") [HR = 0.82 (0.58-1.15)].
CONCLUSION
A moderate increase in body shape among subjects who were already heavy at early life was associated with higher risk of mortality in a Mediterranean cohort of university graduates.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32723579
pii: S0939-4753(20)30229-5
doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2020.06.002
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Comparative Study
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
1742-1750Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2020 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare no competing financial interests.