Campylobacter infections expected to increase due to climate change in Northern Europe.


Journal

Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
17 08 2020
Historique:
received: 21 01 2020
accepted: 27 07 2020
entrez: 19 8 2020
pubmed: 19 8 2020
medline: 10 2 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Global climate change is predicted to alter precipitation and temperature patterns across the world, affecting a range of infectious diseases and particularly foodborne infections such as Campylobacter. In this study, we used national surveillance data to analyse the relationship between climate and campylobacteriosis in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden and estimate the impact of climate changes on future disease patterns. We show that Campylobacter incidences are linked to increases in temperature and especially precipitation in the week before illness, suggesting a non-food transmission route. These four countries may experience a doubling of Campylobacter cases by the end of the 2080s, corresponding to around 6,000 excess cases per year caused only by climate changes. Considering the strong worldwide burden of campylobacteriosis, it is important to assess local and regional impacts of climate change in order to initiate timely public health management and adaptation strategies.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32807810
doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-70593-y
pii: 10.1038/s41598-020-70593-y
pmc: PMC7431569
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

13874

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Auteurs

Katrin Gaardbo Kuhn (KG)

Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, Copenhagen, Denmark. kuh@ssi.dk.

Karin Maria Nygård (KM)

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.

Bernardo Guzman-Herrador (B)

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.

Linda Selje Sunde (LS)

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.

Ruska Rimhanen-Finne (R)

Department of Health Security, National Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.

Linda Trönnberg (L)

Department of Monitoring and Evaluation, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.

Martin Rudbeck Jepsen (MR)

Section for Geography, IGN, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Reija Ruuhela (R)

Weather and Climate Change Impact Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.

Wai Kwok Wong (WK)

Department of Hydrology, Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, Oslo, Norway.

Steen Ethelberg (S)

Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Global Health Section, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

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