Clinical and spirometric variables are better predictors of COPD exacerbations than routine blood biomarkers.
Biomarkers
CAT
COPD
Exacerbations
Prevention
Journal
Respiratory medicine
ISSN: 1532-3064
Titre abrégé: Respir Med
Pays: England
ID NLM: 8908438
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
09 2020
09 2020
Historique:
received:
15
05
2020
revised:
14
07
2020
accepted:
20
07
2020
pubmed:
24
8
2020
medline:
18
5
2021
entrez:
24
8
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Understanding the risk factors for exacerbations of COPD may help provide a more personalised approach to exacerbation prevention. Observational, prospective, international, multicentre study aimed at identifying risk factors for exacerbations of COPD. Clinical variables, lung function and CAT scores were collected at baseline. In addition, routine blood biomarkers were also obtained, and patients were followed for 12 months. A total of 326 patients were included. Of these, 155 (47.5%) presented at least one exacerbation. The median time to the first exacerbation was 147 days. Exacerbators had more respiratory symptoms, more impairment in FEV1(%), FVC(%) and a worse CAT score. Regarding biomarkers, only C-reactive protein was significantly higher in exacerbators (2.8 (standard deviation (SD):3.8) mg/dL vs. 1.9 (SD:2.6) mg/dL; p = 0.037). In multivariate analysis, only CAT scores, FEV1(%) and previous exacerbations were significantly associated with having an exacerbation during follow-up. In the equation of risk, patients with a CAT score ≥15, FEV1(%) <55% and at least one exacerbation the previous year had a probability of 76% of having an exacerbation during the next year, compared with 17% in patients who had none of the previous variables. No biomarkers showed a significant association in multivariate analysis. Less than half of the patients presented an exacerbation during the one-year follow-up. CAT scores, FEV1(%) and previous exacerbations were the only variables associated with increased risk of exacerbations. Routine biomarkers did not provide additional information to evaluate the risk of exacerbations.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
Understanding the risk factors for exacerbations of COPD may help provide a more personalised approach to exacerbation prevention.
METHOD
Observational, prospective, international, multicentre study aimed at identifying risk factors for exacerbations of COPD. Clinical variables, lung function and CAT scores were collected at baseline. In addition, routine blood biomarkers were also obtained, and patients were followed for 12 months.
RESULTS
A total of 326 patients were included. Of these, 155 (47.5%) presented at least one exacerbation. The median time to the first exacerbation was 147 days. Exacerbators had more respiratory symptoms, more impairment in FEV1(%), FVC(%) and a worse CAT score. Regarding biomarkers, only C-reactive protein was significantly higher in exacerbators (2.8 (standard deviation (SD):3.8) mg/dL vs. 1.9 (SD:2.6) mg/dL; p = 0.037). In multivariate analysis, only CAT scores, FEV1(%) and previous exacerbations were significantly associated with having an exacerbation during follow-up. In the equation of risk, patients with a CAT score ≥15, FEV1(%) <55% and at least one exacerbation the previous year had a probability of 76% of having an exacerbation during the next year, compared with 17% in patients who had none of the previous variables. No biomarkers showed a significant association in multivariate analysis.
CONCLUSIONS
Less than half of the patients presented an exacerbation during the one-year follow-up. CAT scores, FEV1(%) and previous exacerbations were the only variables associated with increased risk of exacerbations. Routine biomarkers did not provide additional information to evaluate the risk of exacerbations.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32829181
pii: S0954-6111(20)30231-6
doi: 10.1016/j.rmed.2020.106091
pii:
doi:
Substances chimiques
Biomarkers
0
C-Reactive Protein
9007-41-4
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
106091Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.