Hazard function analysis of metastatic recurrence after colorectal cancer surgery-A nationwide retrospective study.


Journal

Journal of surgical oncology
ISSN: 1096-9098
Titre abrégé: J Surg Oncol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 0222643

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Mar 2021
Historique:
received: 18 11 2020
revised: 28 12 2020
accepted: 30 12 2020
pubmed: 15 1 2021
medline: 11 3 2021
entrez: 14 1 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

An optimal postoperative surveillance protocol for colorectal cancer (CRC) is dependent on understanding the time line of recurrence. By hazard function analysis, this study aimed at evaluating the time of occurrence of metastasis. A total of 21,671 Stage I-III colon cancer patients were retrospectively included from the Japanese study group for postoperative follow-up of colorectal cancer database. The 5-year incidence by metastasized organ was 6.3% for liver (right:left = 5.5%:7.0%, p = .0067), 6.0% for lung (right:left:rectum = 3.7%:4.4%:8.8%, p = 7.05E-45), and 2.0% for peritoneal (right:left:rectum = 3.1%:2.0%:1.2%, p = 1.29E-12). The peak of liver metastasis hazard rate (HR) (0.67 years) was earlier and higher than those of other metastases. The peak HR tended to be delayed in early stage CRCs (0.91, 0.76, and 0.52 years; for Stages I, II, and III, respectively). When analyzed as per the primary tumor location (right-sided, left-sided, and rectum), the peak HR for lung metastasis was twice as high for rectal cancer than for colon cancer, and peritoneal metastasis had a high HR in right-sided colon cancers. The time course for the risk of recurrence in various metastatic organs based on the primary tumor site was clearly visualized in this study. This will aid in individualizing postoperative surveillance schedules.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES OBJECTIVE
An optimal postoperative surveillance protocol for colorectal cancer (CRC) is dependent on understanding the time line of recurrence. By hazard function analysis, this study aimed at evaluating the time of occurrence of metastasis.
METHODS METHODS
A total of 21,671 Stage I-III colon cancer patients were retrospectively included from the Japanese study group for postoperative follow-up of colorectal cancer database.
RESULTS RESULTS
The 5-year incidence by metastasized organ was 6.3% for liver (right:left = 5.5%:7.0%, p = .0067), 6.0% for lung (right:left:rectum = 3.7%:4.4%:8.8%, p = 7.05E-45), and 2.0% for peritoneal (right:left:rectum = 3.1%:2.0%:1.2%, p = 1.29E-12). The peak of liver metastasis hazard rate (HR) (0.67 years) was earlier and higher than those of other metastases. The peak HR tended to be delayed in early stage CRCs (0.91, 0.76, and 0.52 years; for Stages I, II, and III, respectively). When analyzed as per the primary tumor location (right-sided, left-sided, and rectum), the peak HR for lung metastasis was twice as high for rectal cancer than for colon cancer, and peritoneal metastasis had a high HR in right-sided colon cancers.
CONCLUSION CONCLUSIONS
The time course for the risk of recurrence in various metastatic organs based on the primary tumor site was clearly visualized in this study. This will aid in individualizing postoperative surveillance schedules.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33444465
doi: 10.1002/jso.26378
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

1015-1022

Subventions

Organisme : Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
ID : 18K07194
Organisme : Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
ID : 19K09114
Organisme : Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
ID : 19K09115
Organisme : Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
ID : 20K09051
Organisme : Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
ID : 20K21626
Organisme : Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development
ID : JP 19cm0106502

Informations de copyright

© 2021 Wiley Periodicals LLC.

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Auteurs

Kazuhiro Ishimaru (K)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Kazushige Kawai (K)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Hiroaki Nozawa (H)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Kazuhito Sasaki (K)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Koji Murono (K)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Shigenobu Emoto (S)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Hiroaki Ishii (H)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Hiroyuki Anzai (H)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Hirofumi Sonoda (H)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Shinichi Yamauchi (S)

Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan.

Kenichi Sugihara (K)

Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan.

Soichiro Ishihara (S)

Department of Surgical Oncology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

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