Current and future carbon stocks in coastal wetlands within the Great Barrier Reef catchments.
blue carbon
climate change
coastal wetlands
mangroves
seagrass meadows
soil carbon stocks
tidal marshes
Journal
Global change biology
ISSN: 1365-2486
Titre abrégé: Glob Chang Biol
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9888746
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
07 2021
07 2021
Historique:
revised:
25
03
2021
received:
30
10
2020
accepted:
28
03
2021
pubmed:
18
4
2021
medline:
7
8
2021
entrez:
17
4
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Australia's Great Barrier Reef (GBR) catchments include some of the world's most intact coastal wetlands comprising diverse mangrove, seagrass and tidal marsh ecosystems. Although these ecosystems are highly efficient at storing carbon in marine sediments, their soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and the potential changes resulting from climate impacts, including sea level rise are not well understood. For the first time, we estimated SOC stocks and their drivers within the range of coastal wetlands of GBR catchments using boosted regression trees (i.e. a machine learning approach and ensemble method for modelling the relationship between response and explanatory variables) and identified the potential changes in future stocks due to sea level rise. We found levels of SOC stocks of mangrove and seagrass meadows have different drivers, with climatic variables such as temperature, rainfall and solar radiation, showing significant contributions in accounting for variation in SOC stocks in mangroves. In contrast, soil type accounted for most of the variability in seagrass meadows. Total SOC stock in the GBR catchments, including mangroves, seagrass meadows and tidal marshes, is approximately 137 Tg C, which represents 9%-13% of Australia's total SOC stock while encompassing only 4%-6% of the total extent of Australian coastal wetlands. In a global context, this could represent 0.5%-1.4% of global SOC stock. Our study suggests that landward migration due to projected sea level rise has the potential to enhance carbon accumulation with total carbon gains between 0.16 and 0.46 Tg C and provides an opportunity for future restoration to enhance blue carbon.
Substances chimiques
Soil
0
Carbon
7440-44-0
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
3257-3271Informations de copyright
© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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