Predicting the disaster - The role of CRP in acetabular surgery.

Acetabular fractures represent a complex surgical challenge. Given the heterogenous fracture pattern, the patient characteristics and spectrum of complications demand individual solutions. Surgical site infections (SSI) threaten osteosynthesis, and early detection of them and treatment remain crucial. What is the value of postoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) in this group of patients as well as its normal course? 115 patients with isolated fractures of the acetabulum were retrospectively evaluated. CRP, white blood cell count (WBC) and fracture patterns as well as patient characteristics were assessed for 20 days following operative fixation of the acetabular fracture (n = 71) and in fractures that were managed conservatively (n = 44). Twelve patients suffered an infectious complication. With a one-phase decay, 70.55% of the variance of postoperative CRP kinetics was predicted. To anticipate maximum CRP as well as an infection, the preoperative CRP represented the best prognostic parameter. To predict an infection, the single variable "peak CRP value above 100 mg/l" resulted in a sensitivity and specificity of 91.67% and 36.21%, respectively. Combining a second peak of CRP with maximum CRP and day 5 CRP value for receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis resulted in 83.3% and 88.1%, respectively. Predicting surgical site infections after an acetabular fracture is most predictive when analyzing the maximum overall CRP, the second peak and the CRP after day 5. With a combination of these parameters, a sensitivity and specificity of 83.3% and 88.1% to detect an infection was achieved.

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