Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland.

COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Scotland coronavirus disease burden surveillance

Journal

The journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh
ISSN: 2042-8189
Titre abrégé: J R Coll Physicians Edinb
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101144324

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
06 2021
Historique:
entrez: 29 6 2021
pubmed: 30 6 2021
medline: 29 7 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policymakers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic's trajectory. Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland. We examine how the dynamics of the epidemic have changed over time and assess the similarities and differences between metrics. We illustrate how our method has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland, explore potential biases and conclude that our method has proven to be an effective tool for monitoring the epidemic's trajectory.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policymakers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic's trajectory.
METHODS
Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland.
RESULTS
We examine how the dynamics of the epidemic have changed over time and assess the similarities and differences between metrics.
DISCUSSION
We illustrate how our method has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland, explore potential biases and conclude that our method has proven to be an effective tool for monitoring the epidemic's trajectory.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34185034
doi: 10.4997/JRCPE.2021.237
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Review

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

S20-S25

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

No conflict of interests declared

Auteurs

Giles Calder-Gerver (G)

The Usher Institute, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, Ashworth 1, Charlotte Auerbach Road, University of Edinburgh Edinburgh EH9 3FL, UK, Email: g.calder@ed.ac.uk.

Stella Mazeri (S)

The Roslin Institute, The Royal (Dick) School of Veterinary Studies, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Samuel Haynes (S)

Institute of Cell Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Camille Simonet (C)

Institute of Evolutionary Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Mark Woolhouse (M)

The Usher Institute, College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Helen Brown (H)

The Roslin Institute, The Royal (Dick) School of Veterinary Studies, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

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Classifications MeSH