Links between food trade, climate change and food security in developed countries: A case study of Sweden.
Climate vulnerability
Developed countries
Food security
Food trade flows
Sourcing countries
Journal
Ambio
ISSN: 1654-7209
Titre abrégé: Ambio
Pays: Sweden
ID NLM: 0364220
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Apr 2022
Apr 2022
Historique:
received:
26
11
2020
accepted:
22
08
2021
revised:
06
07
2021
pubmed:
26
9
2021
medline:
19
2
2022
entrez:
25
9
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Food security is a global concern affecting even highly developed countries. Ongoing globalisation of food systems, characterised by trading interdependencies, means that agricultural production can be disrupted by climate change, affecting food availability. This study investigated Sweden's food security by identifying major food import categories and associated trade partners (using the World Integrated Trade System database) and vulnerability to frictions in trade deriving from climate change. Vulnerability was assessed through three indicators: exposure based on diversity of sources, dominance and direct trade from supplying countries; sensitivity, assessed using the Climate Risk Index, and adaptive capacity, assessed using the Fragile State Index. The results revealed that Sweden's grain imports may be most vulnerable, and animal products least vulnerable, to climate change. Management strategies based on this preliminary assessment can be developed by integrating climate vulnerability deriving from food trading into the 'Gravity' model, to improve prediction of trade flows.
Identifiants
pubmed: 34561835
doi: 10.1007/s13280-021-01623-w
pii: 10.1007/s13280-021-01623-w
pmc: PMC8847661
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
943-954Subventions
Organisme : Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas
ID : 2017-00608
Informations de copyright
© 2021. The Author(s).
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