Predictive Machine Learning Models and Survival Analysis for COVID-19 Prognosis Based on Hematochemical Parameters.

COVID-19 Cox regression Kaplan–Meier hematochemical parameters machine learning prognostic markers

Journal

Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
ISSN: 1424-8220
Titre abrégé: Sensors (Basel)
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101204366

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
20 Dec 2021
Historique:
received: 22 11 2021
revised: 15 12 2021
accepted: 17 12 2021
entrez: 28 12 2021
pubmed: 29 12 2021
medline: 30 12 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected hundreds of millions of individuals and caused millions of deaths worldwide. Predicting the clinical course of the disease is of pivotal importance to manage patients. Several studies have found hematochemical alterations in COVID-19 patients, such as inflammatory markers. We retrospectively analyzed the anamnestic data and laboratory parameters of 303 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 who were admitted to the Polyclinic Hospital of Bari during the first phase of the COVID-19 global pandemic. After the pre-processing phase, we performed a survival analysis with Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox Regression, with the aim to discover the most unfavorable predictors. The target outcomes were mortality or admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Different machine learning models were also compared to realize a robust classifier relying on a low number of strongly significant factors to estimate the risk of death or admission to ICU. From the survival analysis, it emerged that the most significant laboratory parameters for both outcomes was

Identifiants

pubmed: 34960595
pii: s21248503
doi: 10.3390/s21248503
pmc: PMC8705488
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

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Auteurs

Nicola Altini (N)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.

Antonio Brunetti (A)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.
Apulian Bioengineering SRL, Via delle Violette, 14, 70026 Modugno, Italy.

Stefano Mazzoleni (S)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.

Fabrizio Moncelli (F)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.

Ilenia Zagaria (I)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.

Berardino Prencipe (B)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.

Erika Lorusso (E)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.

Enrico Buonamico (E)

Institute of Respiratory Disease, Department of Basic Medical Science, Neuroscience, and Sense Organs, University of Bari Aldo Moro, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Giovanna Elisiana Carpagnano (GE)

Institute of Respiratory Disease, Department of Basic Medical Science, Neuroscience, and Sense Organs, University of Bari Aldo Moro, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Davide Fiore Bavaro (DF)

Clinic of Infectious Diseases, Department of Biomedical Sciences and Human Oncology, University of Bari Aldo Moro, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Mariacristina Poliseno (M)

Clinic of Infectious Diseases, Department of Biomedical Sciences and Human Oncology, University of Bari Aldo Moro, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Annalisa Saracino (A)

Clinic of Infectious Diseases, Department of Biomedical Sciences and Human Oncology, University of Bari Aldo Moro, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Annalisa Schirinzi (A)

Clinic Pathology Unit, University Hospital of Bari, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Riccardo Laterza (R)

Clinic Pathology Unit, University Hospital of Bari, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Francesca Di Serio (F)

Clinic Pathology Unit, University Hospital of Bari, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Alessia D'Introno (A)

Internal Medicine Unit, Ostuni Hospital, 72017 Ostuni, Italy.

Francesco Pesce (F)

Nephrology Unit, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation (DETO), University of Bari Aldo Moro, 70124 Bari, Italy.

Vitoantonio Bevilacqua (V)

Department of Electrical and Information Engineering (DEI), Polytechnic University of Bari, 70126 Bari, Italy.
Apulian Bioengineering SRL, Via delle Violette, 14, 70026 Modugno, Italy.

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