Parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification using information geometry.

epidemic models inference likelihood logistic growth population models

Journal

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
ISSN: 1742-5662
Titre abrégé: J R Soc Interface
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101217269

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
04 2022
Historique:
entrez: 26 4 2022
pubmed: 27 4 2022
medline: 29 4 2022
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

In this work, we: (i) review likelihood-based inference for parameter estimation and the construction of confidence regions; and (ii) explore the use of techniques from information geometry, including geodesic curves and Riemann scalar curvature, to supplement typical techniques for uncertainty quantification, such as Bayesian methods, profile likelihood, asymptotic analysis and bootstrapping. These techniques from information geometry provide data-independent insights into uncertainty and identifiability, and can be used to inform data collection decisions. All code used in this work to implement the inference and information geometry techniques is available on GitHub.

Identifiants

pubmed: 35472269
doi: 10.1098/rsif.2021.0940
pmc: PMC9042578
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Review Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

20210940

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Auteurs

Jesse A Sharp (JA)

School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.

Alexander P Browning (AP)

School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.

Kevin Burrage (K)

School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Matthew J Simpson (MJ)

School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Centre for Data Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.

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Classifications MeSH