Demographic drivers of the growth of the number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people living with dementia, 2016-2051.
dementia
health services-Indigenous
population forecast
Journal
Australasian journal on ageing
ISSN: 1741-6612
Titre abrégé: Australas J Ageing
Pays: Australia
ID NLM: 9808874
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Dec 2022
Dec 2022
Historique:
revised:
06
04
2022
received:
08
10
2021
accepted:
08
06
2022
pubmed:
23
8
2022
medline:
6
12
2022
entrez:
22
8
2022
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
To examine the demographic drivers that contribute to the future growth in the population of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples living with dementia in Australia. Design: Multistate, Indigenous status, cohort component, population projection model. National-level, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population. Data prepared by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on births, deaths, migration and identification change. Australian Institute of Health and Welfare estimates of dementia prevalence alongside estimates from several studies. Number of older people living with dementia alongside a decomposition of demographic drivers of growth. By 2051, the relative growth in the number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples aged 50+ with dementia ranges from 4½ to 5½ times (under three prevalence scenarios) its 2016 estimate. Cohort flow (the gradual movement of younger cohorts into the 50+ age group, and the depletion of older cohorts from death, over time) is a key driver of the growth in the number of older people living with dementia. High growth in the number of people living with dementia poses implications for culturally appropriate care, health-care access and support for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander families, carers and their communities.
Identifiants
pubmed: 35993283
doi: 10.1111/ajag.13116
pmc: PMC10087408
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
e320-e327Subventions
Organisme : Australian Research Council Centre for Excellence in Population Ageing Research
Informations de copyright
© 2022 The Authors. Australasian Journal on Ageing published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of AJA Inc’.
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