Short-term Prognostic Value of Heart Failure Diagnosis in a Contemporary Cohort of Patients With Adult Congenital Heart Disease.
Journal
The Canadian journal of cardiology
ISSN: 1916-7075
Titre abrégé: Can J Cardiol
Pays: England
ID NLM: 8510280
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
03 2023
03 2023
Historique:
received:
18
08
2022
revised:
14
12
2022
accepted:
19
12
2022
pubmed:
30
12
2022
medline:
8
3
2023
entrez:
29
12
2022
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Heart failure (HF) is the primary cause of premature death in adult congenital heart disease (ACHD). This study aimed to describe the impact of a HF diagnosis on short-term prognosis and to investigate the added prognostic value of an HF diagnosis to the ACHD Anatomic and Physiologic classification (ACHD-AP). This study included 3995 patients followed in a tertiary care centre (last follow-up after January 1, 2010). Survival curves were plotted, and predictors of the primary end point (death, heart transplantation, or ventricular assist device [VAD]) were identified with the use of Cox proportional hazard models and compared with the use of Harrell's C-statistic. Mean age at baseline was 35.7 ± 13.3 years. The prevalence of ACHD-HF was 6.4%. During a median follow-up of 3.1 years (IQR 2.1-3.6 years), 27.3% of ACHD-HF patients reached the primary end point, compared with 1.4% of ACHD patients without HF. Event-free survivals were 78.3%, 61.9%, and 57.5% at 1, 3, and 5 years in ACHD-HF patients, compared with 99.3%, 98.3%, and 98.0% in ACHD patients without HF (P < 0.001). An HF diagnosis (HR 6.9, 95% CI 4.3-11.2) and the physiologic classification (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.9-3.7) were independently associated with the primary end point. The addition of HF to the ACHD-AP classification yielded a Harrell's C-index of 0.8631, providing a significant improvement over the ACHD-AP classification alone (P = 0.0003). The risk of mortality, transplantation, or VAD is increased in ACHD-HF patients. An HF diagnosis appears to be a valuable prognostic marker in addition to the ACHD-AP classification.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
Heart failure (HF) is the primary cause of premature death in adult congenital heart disease (ACHD). This study aimed to describe the impact of a HF diagnosis on short-term prognosis and to investigate the added prognostic value of an HF diagnosis to the ACHD Anatomic and Physiologic classification (ACHD-AP).
METHODS
This study included 3995 patients followed in a tertiary care centre (last follow-up after January 1, 2010). Survival curves were plotted, and predictors of the primary end point (death, heart transplantation, or ventricular assist device [VAD]) were identified with the use of Cox proportional hazard models and compared with the use of Harrell's C-statistic.
RESULTS
Mean age at baseline was 35.7 ± 13.3 years. The prevalence of ACHD-HF was 6.4%. During a median follow-up of 3.1 years (IQR 2.1-3.6 years), 27.3% of ACHD-HF patients reached the primary end point, compared with 1.4% of ACHD patients without HF. Event-free survivals were 78.3%, 61.9%, and 57.5% at 1, 3, and 5 years in ACHD-HF patients, compared with 99.3%, 98.3%, and 98.0% in ACHD patients without HF (P < 0.001). An HF diagnosis (HR 6.9, 95% CI 4.3-11.2) and the physiologic classification (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.9-3.7) were independently associated with the primary end point. The addition of HF to the ACHD-AP classification yielded a Harrell's C-index of 0.8631, providing a significant improvement over the ACHD-AP classification alone (P = 0.0003).
CONCLUSIONS
The risk of mortality, transplantation, or VAD is increased in ACHD-HF patients. An HF diagnosis appears to be a valuable prognostic marker in addition to the ACHD-AP classification.
Identifiants
pubmed: 36581247
pii: S0828-282X(22)01114-X
doi: 10.1016/j.cjca.2022.12.018
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
292-301Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2022 Canadian Cardiovascular Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.