Not all clusters are equal: dynamics of molecular HIV-1 clusters in a statewide Rhode Island epidemic.


Journal

AIDS (London, England)
ISSN: 1473-5571
Titre abrégé: AIDS
Pays: England
ID NLM: 8710219

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
01 03 2023
Historique:
pmc-release: 01 03 2024
entrez: 25 1 2023
pubmed: 26 1 2023
medline: 27 1 2023
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Molecular epidemiology is a powerful tool to characterize HIV epidemics and prioritize public health interventions. Typically, HIV clusters are assumed to have uniform patterns over time. We hypothesized that assessment of cluster evolution would reveal distinct cluster behavior, possibly improving molecular epidemic characterization, towards disrupting HIV transmission. Retrospective cohort. Annual phylogenies were inferred by cumulative aggregation of all available HIV-1 pol sequences of individuals with HIV-1 in Rhode Island (RI) between 1990 and 2020, representing a statewide epidemic. Molecular clusters were detected in annual phylogenies by strict and relaxed cluster definition criteria, and the impact of annual newly-diagnosed HIV-1 cases to the structure of individual clusters was examined over time. Of 2153 individuals, 31% (strict criteria) - 47% (relaxed criteria) clustered. Longitudinal tracking of individual clusters identified three cluster types: normal, semi-normal and abnormal. Normal clusters (83-87% of all identified clusters) showed predicted growing/plateauing dynamics, with approximately three-fold higher growth rates in large (15-18%) vs. small (∼5%) clusters. Semi-normal clusters (1-2% of all clusters) temporarily fluctuated in size and composition. Abnormal clusters (11-16% of all clusters) demonstrated collapses and re-arrangements over time. Borderline values of cluster-defining parameters explained dynamics of non-normal clusters. Comprehensive tracing of molecular HIV clusters over time in a statewide epidemic identified distinct cluster types, likely missed in cross-sectional analyses, demonstrating that not all clusters are equal. This knowledge challenges current perceptions of consistent cluster behavior over time and could improve molecular surveillance of local HIV epidemics to better inform public health strategies.

Identifiants

pubmed: 36695355
doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000003426
pii: 00002030-202303010-00003
pmc: PMC9881752
mid: NIHMS1847977
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

389-399

Subventions

Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : K24 AI134359
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : P30 AI042853
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : R01 AI136058
Pays : United States

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2022 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

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Auteurs

Vlad Novitsky (V)

Brown University.

Jon Steingrimsson (J)

Brown University.

Mark Howison (M)

Research Improving People's Lives, Providence, Rhode Island.

Casey W Dunn (CW)

Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.

Fizza S Gillani (FS)

Brown University.

John Fulton (J)

Brown University.

Thomas Bertrand (T)

Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Katharine Howe (K)

Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Lila Bhattarai (L)

Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Guillermo Ronquillo (G)

Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Meghan MacAskill (M)

Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Utpala Bandy (U)

Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Joseph Hogan (J)

Brown University.

Rami Kantor (R)

Brown University.

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