Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting sepsis in patients with pyogenic liver abscess.


Journal

Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
05 07 2023
Historique:
received: 08 04 2023
accepted: 29 06 2023
medline: 7 7 2023
pubmed: 6 7 2023
entrez: 5 7 2023
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Pyogenic liver abscess (PLA) is a severe condition that significantly increases the risk of sepsis. However, there is a notable dearth of research regarding the prediction of sepsis in PLA patients. The objective of this study was to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram for predicting sepsis in PLA patients. A total of 206 PLA patients were enrolled in our study, out of which 60 individuals (29.1%) met the Sepsis-3 criteria. Independent risk factors for sepsis were identified through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Subsequently, a nomogram was developed based on age, positive blood culture, procalcitonin, alanine aminotransferase, blood urea nitrogen, and D-dimer. The nomogram demonstrated excellent calibration and discrimination, as evidenced by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.946 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.912-0.979) and 0.980 (95%CI 0.951-1.000) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Furthermore, decision-curve analysis confirmed the clinical utility of the nomogram. This study provides valuable insights for the prevention of sepsis in PLA patients and underscores the potential application of the prognostic nomogram in clinical practice.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37407641
doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-37907-2
pii: 10.1038/s41598-023-37907-2
pmc: PMC10322897
doi:

Substances chimiques

Alanine Transaminase EC 2.6.1.2

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

10849

Informations de copyright

© 2023. The Author(s).

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Auteurs

Ji Li (J)

Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361003, China.

Yin Wang (Y)

Department of Gastroenterology, The Third Hospital of Xiamen, Xiamen, China.

Jinhong Luo (J)

Department of Gastroenterology, The Third Hospital of Xiamen, Xiamen, China.

Zhikun Yin (Z)

Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361003, China.

Weifeng Huang (W)

Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361003, China.

Jinyan Zhang (J)

Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361003, China. zjywyq2002@163.com.

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