A hybrid Monte Carlo simulation risk model for oil exploration projects.

Petroleum Pollution / analysis Monte Carlo Method Computer Simulation Wind Water Quality

Journal

Marine pollution bulletin
ISSN: 1879-3363
Titre abrégé: Mar Pollut Bull
Pays: England
ID NLM: 0260231

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Sep 2023
Historique:
received: 28 03 2023
revised: 03 07 2023
accepted: 04 07 2023
medline: 12 9 2023
pubmed: 12 8 2023
entrez: 11 8 2023
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

A new 3-D Hybrid Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) Risk Model is proposed in this study. The wind, wave, current, climate change, and tsunami sub-models of the Three-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Transport and Water Quality Model HYDROTAM-3D are interrelated with MCS, to obtain probability distributions for the simulation of environmental conditions. This is the only model that can incorporate the tsunami, storm, and sea level rise risks in oil exploration projects. The spill risk index (SRI) of 50 blue barrels spilled due to a blowout from the rig/port during fuel supply was circa 1 ton/ship as Tier I with an average annual occurrence probability of 1.0 × 10

Identifiants

DOI: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115270 PMID: 37566977
pubmed: 37566977
pii: S0025-326X(23)00704-X
doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115270
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

115270

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of competing interest The author declares that he has no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Auteurs

Egemen Ander Balas (EA)

Başkent University, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Ankara, Turkey. Electronic address: eanderbalas@baskent.edu.tr.

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Classifications MeSH

questionsmedicales.fr › Environnement et santé publique › Santé publique › Pollution de l'environnement › Pollution pétrolière › A hybrid Monte Carlo simulation risk model for...
questionsmedicales.fr › Environnement et santé publique › Santé publique › Méthodes épidémiologiques › Statistiques comme sujet › Méthode de Monte Carlo › A hybrid Monte Carlo simulation risk model for...
questionsmedicales.fr › Sciences de l'information › Méthodologies informatiques › Simulation numérique › A hybrid Monte Carlo simulation risk model for...
questionsmedicales.fr › Environnement et santé publique › Environnement › Concepts météorologiques › Atmosphère › Temps (météorologie) › Vent › A hybrid Monte Carlo simulation risk model for...
questionsmedicales.fr › Environnement et santé publique › Santé publique › Pollution de l'environnement › Pollution de l'eau › Qualité de l'eau › A hybrid Monte Carlo simulation risk model for...