Unraveling the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the mortality trends in Belgium between 2020-2022.
Belgium
COVID-19
Cause-specific mortality
Excess mortality
Years of life lost
Journal
BMC public health
ISSN: 1471-2458
Titre abrégé: BMC Public Health
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100968562
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
22 Oct 2024
22 Oct 2024
Historique:
received:
03
05
2024
accepted:
15
10
2024
medline:
22
10
2024
pubmed:
22
10
2024
entrez:
21
10
2024
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Over the past four years, the COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a profound impact on public health, including on mortality trends. This study investigates mortality patterns in Belgium by examining all-cause mortality, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality. We retrieved all-cause mortality data from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2022, stratified by age group and sex. A linear mixed model, informed by all-cause mortality from 2009 to 2019, was used to predict non-pandemic all-cause mortality rates in 2020-2022 and estimate excess mortality. Further, we also analyzed trends in cause-specific and premature mortality. Different all-cause mortality patterns could be observed between the younger (<45 years) and older age groups. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic was particularly evident among older age groups. The highest excess mortality occurred in 2020, while a reversal in this trend was evident in 2022. We observed a notable effect of COVID-19 on cause-specific and premature mortality patterns over the three-year period. Despite a consistent decline in COVID-19 reported mortality over this three-year period, it remains imperative to meticulously monitor mortality trends in the years ahead.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
Over the past four years, the COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a profound impact on public health, including on mortality trends. This study investigates mortality patterns in Belgium by examining all-cause mortality, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality.
METHODS
METHODS
We retrieved all-cause mortality data from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2022, stratified by age group and sex. A linear mixed model, informed by all-cause mortality from 2009 to 2019, was used to predict non-pandemic all-cause mortality rates in 2020-2022 and estimate excess mortality. Further, we also analyzed trends in cause-specific and premature mortality.
RESULTS
RESULTS
Different all-cause mortality patterns could be observed between the younger (<45 years) and older age groups. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic was particularly evident among older age groups. The highest excess mortality occurred in 2020, while a reversal in this trend was evident in 2022. We observed a notable effect of COVID-19 on cause-specific and premature mortality patterns over the three-year period.
CONCLUSIONS
CONCLUSIONS
Despite a consistent decline in COVID-19 reported mortality over this three-year period, it remains imperative to meticulously monitor mortality trends in the years ahead.
Identifiants
pubmed: 39434002
doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20415-x
pii: 10.1186/s12889-024-20415-x
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
2916Informations de copyright
© 2024. The Author(s).
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