A generalized phenological model for durum wheat: application to the Italian peninsula.


Journal

Journal of the science of food and agriculture
ISSN: 1097-0010
Titre abrégé: J Sci Food Agric
Pays: England
ID NLM: 0376334

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
30 Aug 2020
Historique:
received: 21 01 2019
revised: 07 06 2019
accepted: 11 06 2019
pubmed: 18 6 2019
medline: 1 1 2021
entrez: 18 6 2019
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

A likely increasing demand for varieties mixtures, landraces and genetic diversity in cropping systems will underpin calls for models able to generalize phenological development at the species level, at the same time as providing the expected range of phenological variability. In the present article, we aimed to obtain a generalized phenological model of durum wheat (Triticum durum, Desf.). Using a large phenological dataset embracing field data collected under different sowing dates, varieties and locations over the Italian peninsula, we searched for the phenophases enabling the best linear approximations between developmental rates and air temperature, aiming to minimize the residual variability from drivers other than temperature, as genetic and environmental diversity. The developmental rates of the resulting phases were then examined with respect to the mean daylength to determine possible additional relations with photoperiod. If a correlation with daylength was also present, the developmental rate is calibrated by multiple linear regression, or otherwise by simple linear regression of temperature. The resulting calibration, tested on an independent data subset, confirms that the model is able to generalize wheat development over the Italian peninsula with high accuracy (mean absolute error =3-8 days; r The generalized phenological model is potentially suitable for many agro-ecological and large-scale applications. It is hoped that the model will aid in situations where phenological observations to parameterize a model are still lacking, as is probably the case for landraces and underutilized crop varieties. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
A likely increasing demand for varieties mixtures, landraces and genetic diversity in cropping systems will underpin calls for models able to generalize phenological development at the species level, at the same time as providing the expected range of phenological variability. In the present article, we aimed to obtain a generalized phenological model of durum wheat (Triticum durum, Desf.).
RESULTS RESULTS
Using a large phenological dataset embracing field data collected under different sowing dates, varieties and locations over the Italian peninsula, we searched for the phenophases enabling the best linear approximations between developmental rates and air temperature, aiming to minimize the residual variability from drivers other than temperature, as genetic and environmental diversity. The developmental rates of the resulting phases were then examined with respect to the mean daylength to determine possible additional relations with photoperiod. If a correlation with daylength was also present, the developmental rate is calibrated by multiple linear regression, or otherwise by simple linear regression of temperature. The resulting calibration, tested on an independent data subset, confirms that the model is able to generalize wheat development over the Italian peninsula with high accuracy (mean absolute error =3-8 days; r
CONCLUSION CONCLUSIONS
The generalized phenological model is potentially suitable for many agro-ecological and large-scale applications. It is hoped that the model will aid in situations where phenological observations to parameterize a model are still lacking, as is probably the case for landraces and underutilized crop varieties. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry.

Identifiants

pubmed: 31206675
doi: 10.1002/jsfa.9864
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

4093-4100

Informations de copyright

© 2019 Society of Chemical Industry.

Références

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Auteurs

Arianna Di Paola (A)

Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services Division, Viterbo, Italy.

Francesca Ventura (F)

Department of Agricultural and Food Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.

Marco Vignudelli (M)

Department of Agricultural and Food Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.

Antonio Bombelli (A)

Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services Division, Viterbo, Italy.

Maurizio Severini (M)

Department of Ecology and Sustainable Economic Development, University of Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy.

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