Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: A longitudinal study.
SPMS
disease modifying therapies
multiple sclerosis
prediction
prognostics
Journal
Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)
ISSN: 1477-0970
Titre abrégé: Mult Scler
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9509185
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
01 2020
01 2020
Historique:
pubmed:
10
8
2019
medline:
18
11
2020
entrez:
10
8
2019
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
The risk factors for conversion from relapsing-remitting to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis remain highly contested. The aim of this study was to determine the demographic, clinical and paraclinical features that influence the risk of conversion to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Patients with adult-onset relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and at least four recorded disability scores were selected from MSBase, a global observational cohort. The risk of conversion to objectively defined secondary progressive multiple sclerosis was evaluated at multiple time points per patient using multivariable marginal Cox regression models. Sensitivity analyses were performed. A total of 15,717 patients were included in the primary analysis. Older age (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.02, Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis increases with age, duration of illness and worsening disability and decreases with improving disability. Therapy may delay the onset of secondary progression.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
The risk factors for conversion from relapsing-remitting to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis remain highly contested.
OBJECTIVE
The aim of this study was to determine the demographic, clinical and paraclinical features that influence the risk of conversion to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis.
METHODS
Patients with adult-onset relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and at least four recorded disability scores were selected from MSBase, a global observational cohort. The risk of conversion to objectively defined secondary progressive multiple sclerosis was evaluated at multiple time points per patient using multivariable marginal Cox regression models. Sensitivity analyses were performed.
RESULTS
A total of 15,717 patients were included in the primary analysis. Older age (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.02,
CONCLUSION
Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis increases with age, duration of illness and worsening disability and decreases with improving disability. Therapy may delay the onset of secondary progression.
Identifiants
pubmed: 31397221
doi: 10.1177/1352458519868990
doi:
Substances chimiques
Immunologic Factors
0
Types de publication
Journal Article
Observational Study
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM