Excess mortality in the first COVID pandemic peak: cross-sectional analyses of the impact of age, sex, ethnicity, household size, and long-term conditions in people of known SARS-CoV-2 status in England.


Journal

The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners
ISSN: 1478-5242
Titre abrégé: Br J Gen Pract
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9005323

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
12 2020
Historique:
received: 07 07 2020
accepted: 20 09 2020
pubmed: 21 10 2020
medline: 15 12 2020
entrez: 20 10 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has passed its first peak in Europe. To describe the mortality in England and its association with SARS-CoV-2 status and other demographic and risk factors. Cross-sectional analyses of people with known SARS-CoV-2 status in the Oxford RCGP Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) sentinel network. Pseudonymised, coded clinical data were uploaded from volunteer general practice members of this nationally representative network ( Mortality peaked in week 16. People living in households of ≥9 had a fivefold increase in relative mortality (RHR = 5.1, 95% CI = 4.87 to 5.31, The first SARS-CoV-2 peak in England has been associated with excess mortality. Planning for subsequent peaks needs to better manage risk in males, those of black ethnicity, older people, people with learning disabilities, and people who live in multi-occupancy dwellings.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has passed its first peak in Europe.
AIM
To describe the mortality in England and its association with SARS-CoV-2 status and other demographic and risk factors.
DESIGN AND SETTING
Cross-sectional analyses of people with known SARS-CoV-2 status in the Oxford RCGP Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) sentinel network.
METHOD
Pseudonymised, coded clinical data were uploaded from volunteer general practice members of this nationally representative network (
RESULTS
Mortality peaked in week 16. People living in households of ≥9 had a fivefold increase in relative mortality (RHR = 5.1, 95% CI = 4.87 to 5.31,
CONCLUSION
The first SARS-CoV-2 peak in England has been associated with excess mortality. Planning for subsequent peaks needs to better manage risk in males, those of black ethnicity, older people, people with learning disabilities, and people who live in multi-occupancy dwellings.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33077508
pii: bjgp20X713393
doi: 10.3399/bjgp20X713393
pmc: PMC7575407
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e890-e898

Subventions

Organisme : Wellcome Trust
ID : 211182/Z/18/Z
Pays : United Kingdom

Informations de copyright

©The Authors.

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Auteurs

Mark Joy (M)

Nuffield professor of primary care and head of department.

Fd Richard Hobbs (FR)

Nuffield professor of primary care and head of department.

Jamie Lopez Bernal (JL)

National Infection Service, Public Health England, London.

Julian Sherlock (J)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Gayatri Amirthalingam (G)

National Infection Service, Public Health England, London.

Dylan McGagh (D)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Oluwafunmi Akinyemi (O)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Rachel Byford (R)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Gavin Dabrera (G)

National Infection Service, Public Health England, London.

Jienchi Dorward (J)

University of Oxford and honorary associate scientist, Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Joanna Ellis (J)

National Infection Service, Public Health England, London.

Filipa Ferreira (F)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Nicholas Jones (N)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Jason Oke (J)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Cecilia Okusi (C)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Brian D Nicholson (BD)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Mary Ramsay (M)

National Infection Service, Public Health England, London.

James P Sheppard (JP)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Mary Sinnathamby (M)

National Infection Service, Public Health England, London.

Maria Zambon (M)

National Infection Service, Public Health England, London.

Gary Howsam (G)

Royal College of General Practitioners, London.

John Williams (J)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

Simon de Lusignan (S)

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford.

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