A roadmap towards predicting species interaction networks (across space and time).

biogeography deep learning ecological forecasting ecological networks machine learning

Journal

Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences
ISSN: 1471-2970
Titre abrégé: Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci
Pays: England
ID NLM: 7503623

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
08 11 2021
Historique:
entrez: 20 9 2021
pubmed: 21 9 2021
medline: 10 11 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Networks of species interactions underpin numerous ecosystem processes, but comprehensively sampling these interactions is difficult. Interactions intrinsically vary across space and time, and given the number of species that compose ecological communities, it can be tough to distinguish between a true negative (where two species never interact) from a false negative (where two species have not been observed interacting even though they actually do). Assessing the likelihood of interactions between species is an imperative for several fields of ecology. This means that to predict interactions between species-and to describe the structure, variation, and change of the ecological networks they form-we need to rely on modelling tools. Here, we provide a proof-of-concept, where we show how a simple neural network model makes accurate predictions about species interactions given limited data. We then assess the challenges and opportunities associated with improving interaction predictions, and provide a conceptual roadmap forward towards predictive models of ecological networks that is explicitly spatial and temporal. We conclude with a brief primer on the relevant methods and tools needed to start building these models, which we hope will guide this research programme forward. This article is part of the theme issue 'Infectious disease macroecology: parasite diversity and dynamics across the globe'.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34538135
doi: 10.1098/rstb.2021.0063
pmc: PMC8450634
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Review

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

20210063

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Auteurs

Tanya Strydom (T)

Sciences Biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada H2V 0B3.
Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.

Michael D Catchen (MD)

Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.
McGill University, Montréal, Canada.

Francis Banville (F)

Sciences Biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada H2V 0B3.
Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.
Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Canada.

Dominique Caron (D)

Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.
McGill University, Montréal, Canada.

Gabriel Dansereau (G)

Sciences Biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada H2V 0B3.
Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.

Philippe Desjardins-Proulx (P)

Sciences Biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada H2V 0B3.
Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.

Norma R Forero-Muñoz (NR)

Sciences Biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada H2V 0B3.
Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.

Gracielle Higino (G)

Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiâna, Brasil.

Benjamin Mercier (B)

Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.
Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Canada.

Andrew Gonzalez (A)

Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.
McGill University, Montréal, Canada.

Dominique Gravel (D)

Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.
Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Canada.

Laura Pollock (L)

Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.
McGill University, Montréal, Canada.

Timothée Poisot (T)

Sciences Biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada H2V 0B3.
Québec Centre for Biodiversity Sciences, Montréal, Canada.

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