Long-term population impact of infant 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on invasive pneumococcal disease in adults in Finland.
10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine
Adults
Bacteremia
Indirect effects
Invasive pneumococcal disease
Pneumococcal pneumonia
time-series analysis
Journal
Vaccine
ISSN: 1873-2518
Titre abrégé: Vaccine
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 8406899
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
29 09 2022
29 09 2022
Historique:
received:
13
05
2022
revised:
15
08
2022
accepted:
21
08
2022
pubmed:
9
9
2022
medline:
24
9
2022
entrez:
8
9
2022
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Limited data are available on long-term indirect effects of ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) programmes. We evaluated changes in invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence, mortality, and serotype distribution in adults up to 9 years after infant PCV10 introduction. Culture-confirmed IPD cases ≥18 years (n = 5610; 85% were pneumonia) were identified through national, population-based laboratory surveillance; data were linked with population registry to conduct nationwide follow-up study. In a time-series model, we compared serotype-specific IPD incidence and associated 30-day mortality rates before and after PCV10 by using negative binomial regression models. During pre-PCV10 period (7/2004-6/2010), overall IPD incidence in adults ≥18 years increased yearly by 4.8%. After adjusting for trend and seasonality, the observed PCV10 serotype IPD incidence in 7/2018-6/2019 was 90% (12/100,000 person-years) lower than the expected rate without PCV10 program. Non-PCV10 serotype incidence was 40% (4.4/100,000 person-years) higher than expected; serotypes 3, 19A, 22F, and 6C accounted for most of the rate increase. However, incidence of non-PCV10 IPD levelled off by end of follow-up. The observed-expected incidence rate-ratio (IRR) was 0·7 (95 %CI 0·5-0.8) for all IPD and 0·7 (95 %CI 0·3-1·3) for IPD-associated 30-day mortality. Case-fatality proportion decreased from 11·9% to 10.0% (p < 0.01). In persons ≥65 years, the IRR was 0·7 (95 %CI 0·5-0.95). Significant indirect effects were seen for vaccine-serotype IPD and for overall IPD in all adult age groups. For non-vaccine IPD, the incidence stabilized 5 years after infant PVC10 program introduction, resulting in a steady state in which non-vaccine IPD accounted for nearly 90% of overall IPD. Substantial pneumococcal disease burden remains in older adults.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
Limited data are available on long-term indirect effects of ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) programmes. We evaluated changes in invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence, mortality, and serotype distribution in adults up to 9 years after infant PCV10 introduction.
METHODS
Culture-confirmed IPD cases ≥18 years (n = 5610; 85% were pneumonia) were identified through national, population-based laboratory surveillance; data were linked with population registry to conduct nationwide follow-up study. In a time-series model, we compared serotype-specific IPD incidence and associated 30-day mortality rates before and after PCV10 by using negative binomial regression models.
RESULTS
During pre-PCV10 period (7/2004-6/2010), overall IPD incidence in adults ≥18 years increased yearly by 4.8%. After adjusting for trend and seasonality, the observed PCV10 serotype IPD incidence in 7/2018-6/2019 was 90% (12/100,000 person-years) lower than the expected rate without PCV10 program. Non-PCV10 serotype incidence was 40% (4.4/100,000 person-years) higher than expected; serotypes 3, 19A, 22F, and 6C accounted for most of the rate increase. However, incidence of non-PCV10 IPD levelled off by end of follow-up. The observed-expected incidence rate-ratio (IRR) was 0·7 (95 %CI 0·5-0.8) for all IPD and 0·7 (95 %CI 0·3-1·3) for IPD-associated 30-day mortality. Case-fatality proportion decreased from 11·9% to 10.0% (p < 0.01). In persons ≥65 years, the IRR was 0·7 (95 %CI 0·5-0.95).
CONCLUSIONS
Significant indirect effects were seen for vaccine-serotype IPD and for overall IPD in all adult age groups. For non-vaccine IPD, the incidence stabilized 5 years after infant PVC10 program introduction, resulting in a steady state in which non-vaccine IPD accounted for nearly 90% of overall IPD. Substantial pneumococcal disease burden remains in older adults.
Identifiants
pubmed: 36075797
pii: S0264-410X(22)01037-4
doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.08.047
pii:
doi:
Substances chimiques
Pneumococcal Vaccines
0
Vaccines, Conjugate
0
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
5950-5958Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Declaration of Competing Interest All authors are employees of the Finnish National Institute for Health and Welfare (THL), which has received research funding from GlaxoSmithKline for a nationwide effectiveness trial of the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine and from Pfizer and Sanofi for non-pneumococcal studies. HR-K, LS and AAP were co-investigators in the PCV10 trial. JPN, MT, and HN have no competing interests. The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.