Temporal trends of cause-specific mortality after diagnosis of atrial fibrillation.


Journal

European heart journal
ISSN: 1522-9645
Titre abrégé: Eur Heart J
Pays: England
ID NLM: 8006263

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
07 11 2023
Historique:
received: 19 05 2023
revised: 14 08 2023
accepted: 21 08 2023
medline: 13 11 2023
pubmed: 25 8 2023
entrez: 25 8 2023
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Reports of outcomes after atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis are conflicting. The aim of this study was to investigate mortality and hospitalization rates following AF diagnosis over time, by cause and by patient features. Individuals aged ≥16 years with a first diagnosis of AF were identified from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink-GOLD dataset from 1 January 2001, to 31 December 2017. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific mortality and hospitalization at 1 year following diagnosis. Poisson regression was used to calculate rate ratios (RRs) for mortality and incidence RRs (IRRs) for hospitalization and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing 2001/02 and 2016/17, adjusted for age, sex, region, socio-economic status, and 18 major comorbidities. Of 72 412 participants, mean (standard deviation) age was 75.6 (12.4) years, and 44 762 (61.8%) had ≥3 comorbidities. All-cause mortality declined (RR 2016/17 vs. 2001/02 0.72; 95% CI 0.65-0.80), with large declines for cardiovascular (RR 0.46; 95% CI 0.37-0.58) and cerebrovascular mortality (RR 0.41; 95% CI 0.29-0.60) but not for non-cardio/cerebrovascular causes of death (RR 0.91; 95% CI 0.80-1.04). In 2016/17, deaths caused from dementia (67, 8.0%), outstripped deaths from acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and acute stroke combined (56, 6.7%, P < .001). Overall hospitalization rates increased (IRR 2016/17 vs. 2001/02 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22), especially for non-cardio/cerebrovascular causes (IRR 1.42; 95% CI 1.39-1.45). Older, more deprived, and hospital-diagnosed AF patients experienced higher event rates. After AF diagnosis, cardio/cerebrovascular mortality and hospitalization has declined, whilst hospitalization for non-cardio/cerebrovascular disease has increased.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND AND AIMS
Reports of outcomes after atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis are conflicting. The aim of this study was to investigate mortality and hospitalization rates following AF diagnosis over time, by cause and by patient features.
METHODS
Individuals aged ≥16 years with a first diagnosis of AF were identified from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink-GOLD dataset from 1 January 2001, to 31 December 2017. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific mortality and hospitalization at 1 year following diagnosis. Poisson regression was used to calculate rate ratios (RRs) for mortality and incidence RRs (IRRs) for hospitalization and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing 2001/02 and 2016/17, adjusted for age, sex, region, socio-economic status, and 18 major comorbidities.
RESULTS
Of 72 412 participants, mean (standard deviation) age was 75.6 (12.4) years, and 44 762 (61.8%) had ≥3 comorbidities. All-cause mortality declined (RR 2016/17 vs. 2001/02 0.72; 95% CI 0.65-0.80), with large declines for cardiovascular (RR 0.46; 95% CI 0.37-0.58) and cerebrovascular mortality (RR 0.41; 95% CI 0.29-0.60) but not for non-cardio/cerebrovascular causes of death (RR 0.91; 95% CI 0.80-1.04). In 2016/17, deaths caused from dementia (67, 8.0%), outstripped deaths from acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and acute stroke combined (56, 6.7%, P < .001). Overall hospitalization rates increased (IRR 2016/17 vs. 2001/02 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22), especially for non-cardio/cerebrovascular causes (IRR 1.42; 95% CI 1.39-1.45). Older, more deprived, and hospital-diagnosed AF patients experienced higher event rates.
CONCLUSIONS
After AF diagnosis, cardio/cerebrovascular mortality and hospitalization has declined, whilst hospitalization for non-cardio/cerebrovascular disease has increased.

Identifiants

pubmed: 37624589
pii: 7249412
doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehad571
pmc: PMC10635669
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

4422-4431

Subventions

Organisme : British Heart Foundation
ID : FS/20/12/34789
Pays : United Kingdom

Commentaires et corrections

Type : CommentIn

Informations de copyright

© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.

Références

Circulation. 2016 Feb 9;133(6):601-9
pubmed: 26858290
Heart. 2013 Aug;99(16):1166-72
pubmed: 23393083
BMJ. 2012 Jan 25;344:d8059
pubmed: 22279113
Lancet Public Health. 2019 Aug;4(8):e406-e420
pubmed: 31376859
Heart. 2021 Dec;107(23):1854-1855
pubmed: 34645642
BMJ. 2020 Aug 11;370:m2724
pubmed: 32784208
Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2022 Apr 25;17:100386
pubmed: 35721699
Lancet. 2018 Feb 10;391(10120):572-580
pubmed: 29174292
Lancet. 2014 Mar 15;383(9921):955-62
pubmed: 24315724
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2015 Sep 1;66(9):1000-7
pubmed: 26314526
BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2005 Jul 11;5:20
pubmed: 16008832
JAMA Netw Open. 2020 Aug 3;3(8):e2014874
pubmed: 32857147
Am Heart J. 2006 Sep;152(3):442-7
pubmed: 16923410
Circulation. 2017 Mar 28;135(13):1227-1239
pubmed: 28148599
Am J Cardiol. 2017 Dec 1;120(11):1961-1965
pubmed: 29033050
Can J Cardiol. 2019 Aug;35(8):1069-1077
pubmed: 31376908
BMJ. 2022 Aug 29;378:e069048
pubmed: 36562446
Int J Cardiol. 2016 Dec 15;225:30-36
pubmed: 27705839
PLoS Med. 2015 Oct 06;12(10):e1001885
pubmed: 26440803
Int J Epidemiol. 2015 Jun;44(3):827-36
pubmed: 26050254
Am J Med. 2015 Mar;128(3):260-7.e1
pubmed: 25446299
Circulation. 2013 Nov 12;128(20):2192-201
pubmed: 24016454
Europace. 2020 Sep 1;22(9):1311-1319
pubmed: 32778878
Europace. 2022 Jul 21;24(7):1065-1075
pubmed: 35244709
Eur Heart J. 2018 Aug 21;39(32):2975-2983
pubmed: 29982405
Eur Heart J. 2022 Aug 14;43(31):2916-2918
pubmed: 35598035
Nat Rev Neurol. 2017 Jun;13(6):327-339
pubmed: 28497805
Eur Heart J. 2022 Apr 14;43(15):1450-1452
pubmed: 34694355
Lancet. 2015 Jul 11;386(9989):154-62
pubmed: 25960110
Eur Heart J. 2021 Feb 1;42(5):373-498
pubmed: 32860505
Am J Cardiol. 2008 Sep 1;102(5):568-72
pubmed: 18721513
Br J Gen Pract. 2010 Mar;60(572):e121-7
pubmed: 20202355
Ageing Res Rev. 2022 Aug;79:101652
pubmed: 35659945
Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2021 Aug;7:100157
pubmed: 34405204
Heart. 2021 Jan;107(1):47-53
pubmed: 33122302
JAMA Cardiol. 2019 Nov 1;4(11):1102-1111
pubmed: 31479100
Br J Clin Pharmacol. 2010 Jan;69(1):4-14
pubmed: 20078607

Auteurs

Jianhua Wu (J)

Centre for Primary Care, Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, 58 Turner Street, London E1 2AB, UK.

Ramesh Nadarajah (R)

Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Department of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK.

Yoko M Nakao (YM)

Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.

Kazuhiro Nakao (K)

Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.

Chris Wilkinson (C)

Academic Cardiovascular Unit, South Tees NHS Foundation Trust, Middlesbrough, UK.
Hull York Medical School, University of York, York, UK.

J Campbell Cowan (JC)

Department of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK.

A John Camm (AJ)

Molecular and Clinical Sciences Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK.

Chris P Gale (CP)

Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Department of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK.

Articles similaires

[Redispensing of expensive oral anticancer medicines: a practical application].

Lisanne N van Merendonk, Kübra Akgöl, Bastiaan Nuijen
1.00
Humans Antineoplastic Agents Administration, Oral Drug Costs Counterfeit Drugs

Smoking Cessation and Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

Jun Hwan Cho, Seung Yong Shin, Hoseob Kim et al.
1.00
Humans Male Smoking Cessation Cardiovascular Diseases Female
Humans United States Aged Cross-Sectional Studies Medicare Part C
1.00
Humans Yoga Low Back Pain Female Male

Classifications MeSH